刘佳敏
中国医学科学院阜外医院 内科
BACKGROUND AND AIM:Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) has been shown to be associated with the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the predictive value of the LVH phenotype for incident AF remains uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of LVH phenotype for incident AF.METHODS AND RESULTS:This study utilized the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) data. LVH was defined by cardiac magnetic resonance measured LV mass index. Isolated LVH was determined as LVH without elevated cardiac biomarker and malignant LVH was determined as LVH with at least 1 elevated biomarker. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to calculate areas under the curves (AUC) for predicting AF. A total of 4983 community-dwelling participants were included, with a mean age of 61.5 years. 279 (5.6 %) had isolated LVH, and 222 (4.5 %) had malignant LVH. During a median follow-up of 8.5 years, 272 incident AF was observed. Compared to participants without LVH and elevated cardiac biomarkers, those with isolated LVH (HR, 1.82; 95 % CI, 1.03-3.20) and malignant LVH (HR, 4.13; 95 % CI, 2.77-6.16) had a higher risk of incident AF. Malignant LVH carried a 1.5-fold increased risk of AF compared to isolated LVH (HR: 2.48, 95 % CI: 1.30-4.73). Including the LVH phenotype in the CHARGE-AF model improved model discrimination (AUC increase: 0.03, p < 0.001).CONCLUSIONS:The risks of AF incidence varied across LVH phenotypes. Malignant LVH carried the highest risk among LVH phenotypes. LVH phenotype provides incremental predictive value over the variables included in the CHARGE-AF model.
Nutrition, metabolism, and cardiovascular diseases : NMCD 2024
AIMS:Mortality risk assessment in patients with heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) presents a major challenge. We sought to construct a polygenic risk score (PRS) to accurately predict the mortality risk of HFpEF.METHODS AND RESULTS:We first carried out a microarray analysis of 50 HFpEF patients who died and 50 matched controls who survived during 1-year follow-up for candidate gene selection. The HF-PRS was developed using the independent common (MAF > 0.05) genetic variants that showed significant associations with 1-year all-cause death (P < 0.05) in 1442 HFpEF patients. Internal cross-validation and subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate the discrimination ability of the HF-PRS. In 209 genes identified by microarray analysis, 69 independent variants (r < 0.1) were selected to develop the HF-PRS model. This model yielded the best discrimination capability for 1-year all-cause mortality with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.852 (95% CI 0.827-0.877), which outperformed the clinical risk score consisting of 10 significant traditional risk factors for 1-year all-cause mortality (AUC 0.696, 95% CI 0.658-0.734, P = 4 × 10-11), with net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 0.741 (95% CI 0.605-0.877; P < 0.001) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of 0.181 (95% CI 0.145-0.218; P < 0.001). Individuals in the medium and the highest tertile of the HF-PRS had nearly a five-fold (HR = 5.3, 95% CI 2.4-11.9; P = 5.6 × 10-5) and 30-fold (HR = 29.8, 95% CI 14.0-63.5; P = 1.4 × 10-18) increased risk of mortality compared to those in the lowest tertile, respectively. The discrimination ability of the HF-PRS was excellent in cross validation and throughout the subgroups regardless of comorbidities, gender, and patients with or without a history of heart failure.CONCLUSION:The HF-PRS comprising 69 genetic variants provided an improvement of prognostic power over the contemporary risk scores and NT-proBNP in HFpEF patients.
European journal of preventive cardiology 2023
BACKGROUND:Lowering blood pressure (BP) effectively reduces the risk of cardiovascular (CV) events in high CV risk individuals. The optimal target of BP lowering among high CV risk individuals remains unclear.METHODS:The Effects of intensive Systolic blood Pressure lowering treatment in reducing RIsk of vascular evenTs (ESPRIT) trial is a multi-center, open-label, randomized controlled trial to compare the efficacy and safety of intensive BP lowering strategy (Systolic BP target <120 mm Hg) and standard BP lowering strategy (Systolic BP target <140 mm Hg). Participants aged at least 50 years old with baseline systolic BP within 130 to 180 mm Hg at high CV risk, defined by established CV diseases or 2 major CV risk factors, were enrolled. The primary outcome is a composite CV outcome of myocardial infarction, coronary or non-coronary revascularization, hospitalization or emergency department visit from new-onset heart failure or acute decompensated heart failure, stroke, or death from CV diseases. Secondary outcomes include components of the primary composite outcome, all-cause death, a composite of the primary outcome or all-cause death, kidney outcomes, as well as cognitive outcomes.RESULTS:Despite of the interruption of COVID-19 outbreak, the ESPRIT trial successfully enrolled and randomized 11,255 participants from 116 hospitals or primary health care institutions. The mean age of the participants was 64.6 (standard deviation [SD], 7.1) years, 4,650 (41.3%) were women. Among them 28.9%, 26.9% and 38.7% had coronary heart disease, prior stroke and diabetes mellitus, respectively. COVID-19 outbreak affected the BP lowering titration process of the trial, and delayed the reach of BP target.CONCLUSIONS:The ESPRIT trial will address the important question on the optimal BP lowering target for individuals with high CV risk, and generate high quality evidence for treating millions of patients from East Asian countries.
American heart journal 2023
Background Improving health status is one of the major goals in the management of heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the long-term individual trajectories of health status in patients with acute HF after discharge. Methods and Results We enrolled 2328 patients hospitalized for HF from 51 hospitals prospectively and measured their health status via the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 at admission and 1, 6, and 12 months after discharge, respectively. The median age of the patients included was 66 years, and 63.3% were men. Six patterns of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 trajectories were identified by a latent class trajectory model: persistently good (34.0%), rapidly improving (35.5%), slowly improving (10.4%), moderately regressing (7.4%), severely regressing (7.5%), and persistently poor (5.3%). Advanced age, decompensated chronic HF, HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction, HF with preserved ejection fraction, depression symptoms, cognitive impairment, and each additional HF rehospitalization within 1 year of discharge were associated with unfavorable health status (moderately regressing, severely regressing, and persistently poor) (P<0.05). Compared with the pattern of persistently good, slowly improving (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.06-2.12]), moderately regressing (HR, 1.92 [1.43-2.58]), severely regressing (HR, 2.26 [1.54-3.31]), and persistently poor (HR, 2.34 [1.55-3.53]) were associated with increased risks of all-cause death. Conclusions One-fifth of 1-year survivors after hospitalization for HF experienced unfavorable health status trajectories and had a substantially increased risk of death during the following years. Our findings help inform the understanding of disease progression from a patient perception perspective and its relationship with long-term survival. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT02878811.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background:Inflammation contributes to the progression of heart failure (HF). However, long-term inflammatory trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with acute HF remain unclear.Methods:Data was obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was used to reflect the inflammatory level. Only patients who survived over 12-month and had hsCRP data at admission, 1-, and 12-month after discharge were included. The latent class trajectory modeling was used to characterize hsCRP trajectories. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to explore the association between hsCRP trajectories and following mortality.Results:Totally, 1281 patients with a median 4.77 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.24-5.07) years follow-up were included. The median age was 64 years (IQR: 54-73 years); 453 (35.4%) were female. Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were characterized: persistently low (n = 419, 32.7%), very high-marked decrease (n = 99, 7.7%), persistently high (n = 649, 50.7%), and persistently very high (n = 114, 8.9%). Compared with the persistently low trajectory, the all-cause mortality was increased in a graded pattern in the persistently high (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-2.07) and persistently very high (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.83-3.70) trajectories; nevertheless, the mortality was not significantly increased in very high-marked decrease trajectory (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57-1.54).Conclusion:Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were identified among patients with acute HF who survived over 12-month. Patients with persistently high and very high trajectories had significantly higher mortality than those with the persistently low trajectory.
Journal of inflammation research 2023
Background:Prior studies have found an unexplained inverse or U-shaped relationship between body mass index (BMI) and mortality in heart failure (HF) patients. However, little is known about the independent effects of each body component, i.e., lean body mass (LBM) and fat mass (FM), on mortality.Methods:We used data from the China Patient-centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events-Prospective Heart Failure Study. LBM and FM were calculated using equations developed from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. LBM and FM index, calculated by dividing LBM or FM in kilograms by the square of height in meters, were used for analysis. We used restricted cubic spline and Cox model to examine the association of LBM and FM index with 1-year all-cause mortality.Results:Among 4,305 patients, median (interquartile range) age was 67 (57-76) years, 37.7% were women. During the 1-year follow-up, 691 (16.1%) patients died. After adjustments, LBM index was inversely associated with mortality in a linear way (P-overall association < 0.01; P-non-linearity = 0.52), but no association between FM index and mortality was observed (P-overall association = 0.19). Compared with patients in the 1st quartile of the LBM index, those in the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quartiles had lower risk of death, with hazard ratio of 0.80 (95% CI 0.66-0.97), 0.65 (95% CI 0.52-0.83), and 0.61 (95% CI 0.45-0.82), respectively. In contrast, this association was not observed between FM index quartiles and mortality.Conclusion:Higher LBM, not FM, was associated with lower 1-year mortality among HF patients.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
Background:High systolic blood pressure (SBP) is an important risk factor for the progression of heart failure (HF); however, the association between SBP and prognosis among patients with established HF was uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between SBP and long-term clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for HF.Methods:This study prospectively enrolled adult patients hospitalized for HF in 52 hospitals from 20 provinces in China. SBPs were measured in a stable condition judged by clinicians during hospitalization before discharge according to the standard research protocol. The primary outcomes included 1-year all-cause death and HF readmission. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to examine the association between SBP and clinical outcomes. Restricted cubic splines were used to examine the non-linear associations.Results:The 4,564 patients had a mean age of 65.3 ± 13.5 years and 37.9% were female. The average SBP was 123.2 ± 19.0 mmHg. One-year all-cause death and HF readmission were 16.9 and 32.7%, respectively. After adjustment, patients with SBP < 110 mmHg had a higher risk of all-cause death compared with those with SBP of 130-139 mmHg (HR 1.71; 95% CI: 1.32-2.20). Patients with SBP < 110 mmHg (HR 1.36; 95% CI: 1.14-1.64) and SBP ≥ 150 mmHg (HR 1.26; 95% CI: 1.01-1.58) had a higher risk of HF readmission, and the association between SBP and HF readmission followed a J-curve relationship with the nadir SBP around 130 mmHg. These associations were consistent regardless of age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, hypertension, coronary heart disease, and medications for HF.Conclusion:In patients hospitalized for HF, lower SBP in a stable phase during hospitalization portends an increased risk of 1-year death, and a J-curve association has been observed between SBP and 1-year HF readmission. These associations were consistent among clinically important subgroups.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
Background:Individual non-cardiac comorbidities are prevalent in HF; however, few studies reported how the aggregate burden of non-cardiac comorbidities affects long-term outcomes, and it is unknown whether this burden is associated with changes in health status.Aims:To assess the association of the overall burden of non-cardiac comorbidities with clinical outcomes and quality of life (QoL) in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF).Methods:We prospectively enrolled patients hospitalized for HF from 52 hospitals in China. Eight key non-cardiac comorbidities [diabetes, chronic renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), anemia, stroke, cancer, peripheral arterial disease (PAD), and liver cirrhosis] were included, and patients were categorized into four groups: none, one, two, and three or more comorbidities. We fitted Cox proportional hazards models to assess the burden of comorbidities on 1-year death and rehospitalization.Results:Of the 4,866 patients, 25.3% had no non-cardiac comorbidity, 32.2% had one, 22.9% had two, and 19.6% had three or more in China. Compared with those without non-cardiac comorbidities, patients with three or more comorbidities had higher risks of 1-year all-cause death [heart rate, HR 1.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.48-2.39] and all-rehospitalization (HR 1.35; 95%CI 1.15-1.58) after adjustment. Although all patients with HF experienced a longitudinal improvement in QoL in the 180 days after discharge, those with three or more non-cardiac comorbidities had an unadjusted 11.4 (95%CI -13.4 to -9.4) lower Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) scores than patients without comorbidities. This difference decreased to -6.4 (95%CI -8.6 to -4.2) after adjustment for covariates.Conclusion:Among patients hospitalized with HF in this study, a higher burden of non-cardiac comorbidities was significantly associated with worse health-related QoL (HRQoL), increased risks of death, and rehospitalization post-discharge. The findings highlight the need to address the management of comorbidities effectively in standardized HF care.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
OBJECTIVE:Long-term weight loss (LTWL) has been shown to be associated with lower metabolic risk in young adults with overweight/obesity. However, the dose-response association is uncertain.METHODS:In a large-scale nationwide screening project in China, the participants aged 35 to 64 years who recalled overweight/obesity at age 25 years and experienced LTWL or maintained stable weight were included. The dose-response association between LTWL from age 25 to screening (35 to 64 years) and the odds of metabolic syndrome at screening were assessed using multivariable adjusted regression models with restricted cubic splines.RESULTS:A total of 40,150 participants (66.4% women) were included. The increment of LTWL was associated with continuously decreased odds of metabolic syndrome. The odds of metabolic syndrome were 0.64 (0.60 to 0.67), 0.42 (0.40 to 0.45), 0.27 (0.25 to 0.29), and 0.15 (0.13 to 0.17) for those with LTWL of 5% to 9.9%, 10% to 14.9%, 15% to 19.9%, and 20% or greater compared with <5% LTWL, respectively. Moreover, the incremental pattern was observed across all population subgroups.CONCLUSIONS:An incremental association between LTWL from young adulthood and odds of later-life metabolic syndrome was observed. Our findings highlight the effective ways to achieve LTWL to improve lifetime metabolic health for young adults with overweight/obesity.
Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.) 2022
Background:Elevated blood pressure (BP) is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality in stroke survivors. China has the highest prevalence of stroke survivors and accounts for one-third of stroke-related deaths worldwide. We aimed to describe the prevalence and treatment of elevated BP across age, sex, and region, and assess the mortality attributable to elevated BP among stroke survivors in China.Materials and methods:Based on 3,820,651 participants aged 35-75 years from all 31 provinces in mainland China recruited from September 2014 to September 2020, we assessed the prevalence and treatment of elevated BP (systolic BP ≥ 140 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥ 90 mmHg) among those with self-reported stroke and stratified by age group, sex, and geographic region. We estimated the age- and sex-specific population attributable fractions of death from elevated BP.Results:Among 91,406 stroke survivors, the mean (SD) age was 62 (8) years, and 49.0% were male. The median interquartile range (IQR) stroke duration was 4 (2, 7) years. The prevalence of elevated BP was 61.3% overall, and increased with age (from 47.5% aged 35-44 years to 64.6% aged 65-75 years). The increment of prevalence was larger in female patients than male patients. Elevated BP was more prevalent in northeast (66.8%) and less in south (54.3%) China. Treatment rate among patients with elevated BP was 38.1%, and rates were low across all age groups, sexes, and regions. Elevated BP accounted for 33 and 21% of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among stroke survivors, respectively. The proportion exceeded 50% for cardiovascular mortality among patients aged 35-54 years.Conclusion:In this nationwide cohort of stroke survivors from China, elevated BP and its non-treatment were highly prevalent across all age groups, sexes, and regions. Elevated BP accounted for nearly one-third cardiovascular mortality in stroke survivors, and particularly higher in young and middle-aged patients. National strategies targeting elevated BP are warranted to address the high stroke burden in China.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
