李威
中国医学科学院阜外医院 教务科
Background The age-related trends in the predictive ability of carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) for cardiovascular risk remain unclear. We aimed to identify the age-related trends in the predictive value of CIMT for cardiovascular death. Methods and Results In a prospective cohort of adults aged 35 to 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease who were enrolled between 2014 and 2020, we measured CIMT at baseline and collected the vital status and cause of death. We divided the study population into 4 age groups (35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-75 years). Competing risk models were fitted to estimate the associations between CIMT and cardiovascular death. The added values of CIMT in prediction were assessed by the differences of the Harrell's concordance index and the net reclassification improvement index. We included 369 478 adults and followed them for a median of 4.7 years. A total of 4723 (1.28%) cardiovascular deaths occurred. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, the hazard ratios for CIMTmean per SD decreased with age, from 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17-1.37) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 1.14 (95% CI, 1.10-1.19) in the 65 to 75 years age group (P for interaction <0.01). Meanwhile, the net reclassification improvement indexes for CIMTmean were attenuated with age, from 22.60% (95% CI, 15.56%-29.64%) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 7.00% (95% CI, -6.82% to 20.83%) in the 65 to 75 years age group. Similar results were found for maximum CIMT in all age groups. Conclusions CIMT may improve cardiovascular risk prediction in the young and middle-aged populations, rather than those aged ≥55 years.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background:The chronic effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) at high concentrations remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the relationship of long-term PM2.5 exposure with all-cause and the top three causes of death (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and respiratory disease), and to analyze their concentration-response functions over a wide range of concentrations.Methods:We enrolled community residents aged 35-75 years from 2014 to 2017 from all 31 provinces of the Chinese Mainland, and followed them up until 2021. We used a long-term estimation dataset for both PM2.5 and O3 concentrations with a high spatiotemporal resolution to assess the individual exposure, and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations between PM2.5 and mortalities.Findings:We included 1,910,923 participants, whose mean age was 55.6 ± 9.8 years and 59.4% were female. A 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased risk for all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.02 [95% confidence interval 1.012-1.028]), CVD death (1.024 [1.011-1.037]), cancer death (1.037 [1.023-1.052]), and respiratory disease death (1.083 [1.049-1.117]), respectively. Long-term PM2.5 exposure nonlinearly related with all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortalities, while linearly related with respiratory disease mortality.Interpretation:The overall effects of long-term PM2.5 exposure on mortality in the high concentration settings are weaker than previous reports from settings of PM2.5 concentrations < 35 μg/m³. The distinct concentration-response relationships of CVD, cancer, and respiratory disease mortalities could facilitate targeted public health efforts to prevent death caused by air pollution.Funding:The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding, the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China, the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China.
The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific 2023
Background:Inflammation contributes to the progression of heart failure (HF). However, long-term inflammatory trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with acute HF remain unclear.Methods:Data was obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was used to reflect the inflammatory level. Only patients who survived over 12-month and had hsCRP data at admission, 1-, and 12-month after discharge were included. The latent class trajectory modeling was used to characterize hsCRP trajectories. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to explore the association between hsCRP trajectories and following mortality.Results:Totally, 1281 patients with a median 4.77 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.24-5.07) years follow-up were included. The median age was 64 years (IQR: 54-73 years); 453 (35.4%) were female. Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were characterized: persistently low (n = 419, 32.7%), very high-marked decrease (n = 99, 7.7%), persistently high (n = 649, 50.7%), and persistently very high (n = 114, 8.9%). Compared with the persistently low trajectory, the all-cause mortality was increased in a graded pattern in the persistently high (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-2.07) and persistently very high (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.83-3.70) trajectories; nevertheless, the mortality was not significantly increased in very high-marked decrease trajectory (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57-1.54).Conclusion:Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were identified among patients with acute HF who survived over 12-month. Patients with persistently high and very high trajectories had significantly higher mortality than those with the persistently low trajectory.
Journal of inflammation research 2023
Objective: To describe the prevalence of home blood pressure monitoring and analyze the factors influencing regular blood pressure monitoring among elderly uncontrolled hypertensive patients in Central and Western China. Methods: It was a cross-sectional study, which enrolled hypertensive patients aged over 60 years with office blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) from September 2019 to July 2020 in 72 hospitals in Central and Western China. Patients completed the electronic questionnaires, and were divided into regular and irregular home blood pressure monitoring groups. The proportion of patients using different types of sphygmomanometers and the percentage of patients with regular home blood pressure monitoring (at least weekly) were explored. The generalized linear mixed model was used to define the influencing factors of regular home blood pressure monitoring. Results: A total of 3 857 patients were included in this study. Age was 67(64,71) years old and there were 2 163 males (56.1%). Overall, sphygmomanometer was available at home for 3 044(78.9%) patients, 2 168(56.2%) patients conducted regular home blood pressure monitoring. Among the patients with a sphygmomanometer at home, 2 370(77.9%) of the sphygmomanometers were upper arm electronic device. Older age, higher income, longer history of hypertension, multiple antihypertensive medications and awareness of diagnostic criteria of hypertension and hypertension complications were associated with a higher prevalence of regular home blood pressure monitoring (all P<0.05). Conclusions: Among the elderly hypertensive patients with uncontrolled blood pressure in Central and Western China, there is a relatively high prevalence of home sphygmomanometer ownership and regular monitoring. Age, family income, history of hypertension, number of antihypertensive drugs and knowledge of hypertension are the influencing factors of regular home blood pressure monitoring in this population.
Zhonghua xin xue guan bing za zhi 2022
BACKGROUND:The health effects of air pollution on heart failure (HF) patients have not been adequately studied.OBJECTIVES:We assessed the associations between long-term air pollution exposure and prognosis in HF patients.METHODS:HF patients were prospectively recruited from 52 hospitals throughout China between August 2016 and May 2018. The participants were followed up for 12 months after discharge from index hospitalization. Long-term air pollution was calculated as annual average level of air pollution before the date of the index hospitalization. Outcomes were defined as HF readmission, cardiovascular death, and composite events. Cox proportional hazards model was applied to quantify the associations between air pollution exposure and clinical outcomes.RESULTS:Of 4866 patients included in the analysis, mean age was 65.2 ± 13.5 years, and 62.5% were male. During 1-year follow-up, 1577 (32.4%) participants were readmitted for HF and 550 (11.3%) died from cardiovascular disease. Though no associations between long-term air pollution and HF readmission in the overall participants, geographic and age heterogeneity in the long-term effects of air pollutants on HF readmission was observed. Air pollutants included PM2.5 [HR (hazard ratio) = 1.146, 95% CI (confidence interval): 1.044, 1.259], PM10 (HR = 1.120, 95% CI: 1.043, 1.203), SO2 (HR = 1.808, 95% CI: 1.190, 2.747), and CO (HR = 3.596, 95% CI: 1.792, 7.218) were associated with higher risk of HF readmission in South China, but not in North China, where people spend less time outdoors and have limited indoor-outdoor ventilation. PM2.5, PM10, O3, and CO among patients ≥ 65 years were found to be associated with higher risk of HF readmission. The effects on composite outcomes were broadly consistent with that of HF readmission. Cardiovascular death was not significantly associated with air pollution in the overall or subgroups.DISCUSSION:Among HF patients who were older, living in South China, more HF readmissions occurred with higher long-term air pollution exposure. The findings suggest that the elderly patients and those living in South China should particularly enhance their personal protection against air pollution.
Ecotoxicology and environmental safety 2021
OBJECTIVES:Little is known about contemporary characteristics and management of valvular heart disease (VHD) in China. This study aimed to examine the clinical characteristics, aetiology and type of VHD, interventions and in-hospital outcomes of patients with VHD hospitalised in China.METHODS:We used a two-stage random sampling design to create a nationally representative sample of patients with VHD hospitalised in 2015 in China and included adult patients with mild, moderate or severe VHD. We abstracted data from medical records, including echocardiogram reports, on patient characteristics, aetiology, type and severity of VHD, interventions and in-hospital outcomes. We weighted our findings to estimate nationally representative hospitalisations. We performed multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with valve intervention.RESULTS:In 2015, 38 841 patients with VHD were hospitalised in 188 randomly sampled hospitals, representing 662 384 inpatients with VHD in China. We sampled 9363 patients, mean age 68.7 years (95% CI 42.2 to 95.2) and 46.8% (95% CI 45.8% to 47.8%) male, with an echocardiogram. Degenerative origin was the predominant aetiology overall (33.3%, 95% CI 32.3% to 34.3%), while rheumatic origin was the most frequent aetiology among patients with VHD as the primary diagnosis (37.4%, 95% CI 35.9% to 38.8%). Rheumatic origin was also the most common aetiology among patients with moderate or severe VHD (27.3%, 95% CI 25.6% to 29.0% and 33.6%, 95% CI 31.9% to 35.2%, respectively). The most common VHD was mitral regurgitation (79.1%, 95% CI 78.2% to 79.9%), followed by tricuspid regurgitation (77.4%, 95% CI 76.5% to 78.2%). Among patients with a primary diagnosis of severe VHD who were admitted to facilities capable of valve intervention, 35.6% (95% CI 33.1% to 38.1%) underwent valve intervention during the hospitalisation. The likelihood of intervention decreased significantly among patients with higher operative risk.CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with VHD hospitalised in China, the predominant aetiology was degenerative in origin; among patients with moderate or severe VHD, rheumatic origin was the most common aetiology. Targeted strategies and policies should be promoted to address degenerative VHD. Patients with severe VHD may be undertreated, particularly those with high operative risk.
BMJ open 2021
OBJECTIVES:This study aims to examine the association between the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)-12 score and the 30-day and 1-year rates of composite events of cardiovascular death and heart failure (HF) rehospitalization in patients with acute HF.BACKGROUND:Few studies reported the prognostic effects of KCCQ in acute HF.METHODS:This study prospectively enrolled adult patients hospitalized for HF from 52 hospitals in China and collected the KCCQ-12 score within 48 hour of index admission. The study used multivariable Cox regression to examine the association between KCCQ-12 score and 30-day and 1-year composite events and was further stratified by new-onset HF and acutely decompensated chronic heart failure (ADCHF). Subgroup analyses were performed to explore the potential heterogeneity. The study evaluated the incremental prognostic value of KCCQ-12 score over N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels and established risk scores by C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement.RESULTS:Among 4,898 patients, 29.4% had new-onset HF. After adjustment, each 10-point decrease in the KCCQ-12 score was associated with a 13% increase in 30-day risk and a 7% increase in 1-year risk. The associations were consistent regardless of new-onset HF or ADCHF, age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, New York Heart Association functional class, NT-proBNP level, comorbidities, and renal function. Adding KCCQ-12 score to NT-proBNP and established risk scores significantly improved prognostic capabilities measured by C-statistics, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement.CONCLUSIONS:In acute HF, a poor KCCQ-12 score predicted short- and long-term risks of cardiovascular death and HF rehospitalization. KCCQ-12 could serve as a convenient tool for rapid initial risk stratification and provide additional prognostic value over NT-proBNP and established risk scores.
JACC. Heart failure 2021
INTRODUCTION:The purpose of the study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of buprenorphine/naloxone sublingual tablets for the treatment of opioid dependence in Chinese adults.METHODS:This multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled study included four periods: induction (3-5 days), stabilization (7-21 days), randomization/treatment (6 weeks), and postmedication follow-up (1 week). A total of 442 participants with opioid dependence were enrolled; 260 were randomized to buprenorphine/naloxone or placebo. The primary outcome was retention in treatment, defined as the time from randomization to treatment completion or treatment failure. Secondary outcomes included maximum consecutive days of abstinence from opioids, self-reported craving and opioid withdrawal symptoms, and urine drug screen results. Safety assessments included adverse event reporting, electrocardiograms, clinical laboratory tests, vital signs, and prior/concomitant medications.RESULTS:The median treatment retention time (95% confidence internal) with buprenorphine/naloxone was 32 days (26-38) versus 6 days (5-8) for placebo, with a Cox hazard ratio of 0.28 (95% confidence interval, 0.21-0.38; P < 0.0001). The median maximum consecutive days of abstinence (95% confidence interval) was: buprenorphine/naloxone, 21 days (26-38); placebo, 5 days (5-8) with a Cox hazard ratio of 0.38 (95% confidence interval, 0.25-0.60; P < 0.0001). Withdrawal and craving symptoms were significantly milder with buprenorphine/naloxone versus placebo (P < 0.001). Urine drug screen results indicated significantly lower opioid usage in the buprenorphine/naloxone group compared with placebo (P < 0.001). The most commonly reported adverse events in the buprenorphine/naloxone group during treatment were aspartate aminotransferase increased and nasopharyngitis.DISCUSSION:Efficacy and safety results from this clinical trial support a positive benefit-risk ratio for buprenorphine/naloxone sublingual tablet use in the treatment of an opioid-dependent Chinese population.
Asia-Pacific psychiatry : official journal of the Pacific Rim College of Psychiatrists 2019