胡爽
中国医学科学院阜外医院 国家心血管疾病临床研究中心
BACKGROUND:Inappropriate antimicrobial use is common among patients undergoing surgery. It remains unclear whether a multi-faceted computerized antimicrobial stewardship programme is effective and safe in reducing inappropriate antimicrobial use in surgical settings.METHODS:A multi-faceted computerized antimicrobial stewardship intervention system was developed, and an open-label, cluster-randomized, controlled trial was conducted among 18 surgical teams that enrolled 2470 patients for open chest cardiovascular surgery. The surgical teams were divided at random into intervention and control groups at a ratio of 1:1. The primary endpoints were days of therapy (DOT)/1000 patient-days, defined daily dose (DDD)/1000 patient-days and length of therapy (LOT)/1000 patient-days.RESULTS:Mean DOT, DDD and LOT per 1000 patient-days were significantly lower in the intervention group compared with the control group (472.2 vs 539.8, 459.5 vs 553.8, and 438.4 vs 488.7; P<0.05), with reductions of 14.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 11.8-16.7%], 18.7% (95% CI 15.9-21.4%) and 11.9% (95% CI 9.6-14.1%), respectively. The daily risk of inappropriate antimicrobial use after discharge from the intensive care unit decreased by 23.9% [95% CI 15.5-31.5% (incidence risk ratio 0.76, 95% CI 0.69-0.85)] in the intervention group. There was no significant difference in rates of infection or surgical-related complications between the groups. Median antimicrobial costs were significantly lower in the intervention group {873.4 [interquartile range (IQR) 684.5-1255.4] RMB vs 1178.7 (IQR 869.1-1814.5) RMB; P<0.001} (1 RMB approximately equivalent to 0.16 US$ in 2022).CONCLUSIONS:The multi-faceted computerized antimicrobial stewardship interventions reduced inappropriate antimicrobial use safely.CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION:Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT04328090.
International journal of antimicrobial agents 2023
AIMS:The beneficial effect of β-blocker on heart failure with reduced ejection fraction is well established. However, its effect on the 1-year outcome of heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF) remains unclear.METHODS AND RESULTS:We analysed the data of the patients with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) between 40% and 49% in China Patient-centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study (China PEACE 5p-HF Study), in which patients hospitalized for heart failure from 52 Chinese hospitals were recruited from 2016 to 2018. Two primary outcomes were all-cause death and all-cause hospitalization. The associations between β-blocker use at discharge and outcomes were assessed by inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-weighted Cox regression analyses. To assess consistency, IPTW adjusting medications analyses, multivariable analyses and dose-effect analyses were performed. A total of 1035 HFmrEF patients were included in the analysis. The mean age was 65.5 ± 12.7 years and 377 (36.4%) were female. The median (interquartile range) of LVEF was 44% (42-47%). Six hundred and sixty-one (63.8%) were treated with β-blocker. Patients using β-blocker were younger with better cardiac function, and more likely to use renin-angiotensin system inhibitor and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist. During the 1-year follow-up, death occurred in 84 (12.7%) treated and 85 (22.7%) untreated patients (P < 0.0001); all-cause hospitalization occurred in 298 (45.1%) treated and 188 (50.3%) untreated patients (P = 0.04). After IPTW-weighted adjustment, β-blocker use was significantly associated with lower risk of all-cause death [hazard ratio (HR): 0.70; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.51-0.96, P = 0.03], but not with lower all-cause hospitalization (HR, 0.92, 95% CI, 0.76-1.10, P = 0.36). Consistency analyses showed consistent favourable effect of β-blocker on all-cause death, but not on all-cause hospitalization.CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with HFmrEF, β-blocker use was associated with lower risk of all-cause death, but not with lower risk of all-cause hospitalization.
European heart journal. Cardiovascular pharmacotherapy 2022
Background:High systolic blood pressure (SBP) is an important risk factor for the progression of heart failure (HF); however, the association between SBP and prognosis among patients with established HF was uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the association between SBP and long-term clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for HF.Methods:This study prospectively enrolled adult patients hospitalized for HF in 52 hospitals from 20 provinces in China. SBPs were measured in a stable condition judged by clinicians during hospitalization before discharge according to the standard research protocol. The primary outcomes included 1-year all-cause death and HF readmission. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to examine the association between SBP and clinical outcomes. Restricted cubic splines were used to examine the non-linear associations.Results:The 4,564 patients had a mean age of 65.3 ± 13.5 years and 37.9% were female. The average SBP was 123.2 ± 19.0 mmHg. One-year all-cause death and HF readmission were 16.9 and 32.7%, respectively. After adjustment, patients with SBP < 110 mmHg had a higher risk of all-cause death compared with those with SBP of 130-139 mmHg (HR 1.71; 95% CI: 1.32-2.20). Patients with SBP < 110 mmHg (HR 1.36; 95% CI: 1.14-1.64) and SBP ≥ 150 mmHg (HR 1.26; 95% CI: 1.01-1.58) had a higher risk of HF readmission, and the association between SBP and HF readmission followed a J-curve relationship with the nadir SBP around 130 mmHg. These associations were consistent regardless of age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, hypertension, coronary heart disease, and medications for HF.Conclusion:In patients hospitalized for HF, lower SBP in a stable phase during hospitalization portends an increased risk of 1-year death, and a J-curve association has been observed between SBP and 1-year HF readmission. These associations were consistent among clinically important subgroups.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
BACKGROUND:Sex differences in clinical characteristics and in-hospital outcomes among patients with non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction have been described in Western countries, but whether these differences exist in China is unknown.METHODS:We used a 2-stage random sampling design to create a nationally representative sample of patients admitted to 151 Chinese hospitals for non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction in 2006, 2011, and 2015 and examined sex differences in clinical profiles, treatments, and in-hospital outcomes over this time. Multivariable logistic regression models adjusting for age or other potentially confounding clinical covariates were used to estimate these sex-specific differences.RESULTS:Among 4611 patients, the proportion of women (39.8%) was unchanged between 2006 and 2015. Women were older with higher rates of hypertension, diabetes, and dyslipidemia. Among patients without contraindications, women were less likely to receive treatments than men, with significant differences for aspirin in 2015 (90.3% versus 93.9%) and for invasive strategy in 2011 (28.7% versus 45.7%) and 2015 (34.0% versus 48.4%). After adjusting for age, such differences in aspirin and invasive strategy in 2015 were not significant, but the difference in invasive strategy in 2011 persisted. The sex gaps in the use of invasive strategy did not narrow. From 2006 to 2015, a significant decrease in in-hospital mortality was observed in men (from 16.9% to 8.7%), but not in women (from 11.8% to 12.0%), with significant interaction between sex and study year (P=0.023). After adjustment, in-hospital mortality in women was significantly lower than men in 2006, but not in 2011 or 2015.CONCLUSIONS:Sex differences in cardiovascular risk factors and invasive strategy after non-ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction were observed between 2011 and 2015 in China. Although sex gaps in in-hospital mortality were largely explained by age differences, efforts to narrow sex-related disparities in quality of care should remain a focus.REGISTRATION:URL: http://www.CLINICALTRIALS:gov; Unique identifier: NCT01624883.
Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes 2022
BACKGROUND:The association between heart rate and 1-year clinical outcomes in heart failure (HF) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), and whether this association depends on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), are unclear. We investigated the relationship between discharge heart rate and 1-year clinical outcomes after discharge among hospitalized HF patients with AF, and further explored this association that differ by LVEF level.METHODS:In this analysis, we enrolled 1760 hospitalized HF patients with AF from the China Patient-centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure study from August 2016 to May 2018. Patients were categorized into three groups with low (<65 beats per minute [bpm]), moderate (65-85 bpm), and high (≥86 bpm) heart rate measured at discharge. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to explore the association between heart rate and 1-year primary outcome, which was defined as a composite outcome of all-cause death and HF rehospitalization.RESULTS:Among 1760 patients, 723 (41.1%) were women, the median age was 69 (interquartile range [IQR]: 60-77) years, median discharge heart rate was 75 (IQR: 69-84) bpm, and 934 (53.1%) had an LVEF <50%. During 1-year follow-up, a total of 792 (45.0%) individuals died or had at least one HF hospitalization. After adjusting for demographic characteristics, smoking status, medical history, anthropometric characteristics, and medications used at discharge, the groups with low (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-1.68, P = 0.020) and high (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.07-1.67, P = 0.009) heart rate were associated with a higher risk of 1-year primary outcome compared with the moderate group. A significant interaction between discharge heart rate and LVEF for the primary outcome was observed (P for interaction was 0.045). Among the patients with LVEF ≥50%, only those with high heart rate were associated with a higher risk of primary outcome compared with the group with moderate heart rate (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.01-1.89, P = 0.046), whereas there was no difference between the groups with low and moderate heart rate. Among the patients with LVEF <50%, only those with low heart rate were associated with a higher risk of primary outcome compared with the group with moderate heart rate (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.09-1.96, P = 0.012), whereas there was no difference between the groups with high and moderate heart rate.CONCLUSIONS:Among the overall HF patients with AF, both low (<65 bpm) and high (≥86 bpm) heart rates were associated with poorer outcomes as compared with moderate (65-85 bpm) heart rate. Among patients with LVEF ≥50%, only a high heart rate was associated with higher risk; while among those with LVEF <50%, only a low heart rate was associated with higher risk as compared with the group with moderate heart rate.TRAIL REGISTRATION:Clinicaltrials.gov; NCT02878811.
Chinese medical journal 2022
Background:Lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) is one of the key strategies for reducing the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) burden. However, little is known about the percentage of people in need of different LLT regimens to achieve optimal targets of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and the corresponding cost and benefit.Methods:We conducted a simulation study based on the data from the nationwide China PEACE MPP population cohort (2015-2020), from which we included 2,904,914 participants aged 35-75 years from all the 31 provinces in mainland China. Participants were grouped based on their 10-year ASCVD risks, then entered into a Monte Carlo model which was used to perform LLT intensification simulation scenarios to achieve corresponding LDL-C goals in each risk stratification.Results:After standardizing age and sex, the proportions of participants included at low, moderate, high, and very-high risk were 70.8%, 15.6%, 11.5%, and 2.1%, respectively. People who failed to achieve the corresponding LDL-C goals -8.1% at low risk, 19.6% at moderate risk, 53.2% at high risk, and 93.6% at very-high risk (either not achieving the goal or not receiving LLT)-would be in need of the LLT intensification simulation. After the use of atorvastatin 20 mg was simulated, over 99% of the population at low or moderate risk could achieve the LDL-C goals; while 11.3% at high and 24.5% at very-high risk would still require additional non-statin therapy. After the additional use of ezetimibe, there were still 4.8% at high risk and 11.3% at very-high risk in need of evolocumab; and 99% of these two groups could achieve the LDL-C goals after the use of evolocumab. Such LLT intensification with statin, ezetimibe, and evolocumab would annually cost $2.4 billion, $4.2 billion, and $24.5 billion, respectively, and prevent 264,170, 18,390, and 17,045 cardiovascular events, respectively.Conclusions:Moderate-intensity statin therapy is pivotal for the attainment of optimal LDL-C goals in China, and around 10-25% of high- or very-high-risk patients would require additional non-statin agents. There is an opportunity to reduce the rising ASCVD burden in China by optimizing LLT.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 2022
OBJECTIVES:Patients admitted to hospital with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) have considerable variability in in-hospital risks, resulting in higher demands on healthcare resources. Simple risk-assessment tools are important for the identification of patients with higher risk to inform clinical decisions. However, few risk assessment tools have been built that are suitable for populations with AMI in China. We aim to develop and validate a risk prediction model, and further build a risk scoring system.DESIGN:Data from a nationally representative retrospective study was used to develop the model. Patients from a prospective study and another nationally representative retrospective study were both used for external validation.SETTING:161 nationally representative hospitals, and 53 and 157 other hospitals were involved in the above three studies, respectively.PARTICIPANTS:8010 patients hospitalised for AMI were included as development sample, and 4485 and 11 223 other patients were included as validation samples in their corresponding studies.PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES:The in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) was defined as death from any cause, recurrent AMI, or ischaemic stroke.RESULTS:The proportion of in-hospital MACE was 11.7%, 8.8% and 11.4% among the development sample and two external-validation samples, respectively. Nine predictors (ie, age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, Killip class, systolic blood pressure, creatinine, white blood cell count, heart rate and blood glucose) were independently associated with in-hospital MACE. The model performed well on both discrimination and calibration capability, with areas under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (ROC) curve of 0.85, 0.74 and 0.80, and calibration slopes of 0.98, 0.84 and 0.97 in the development sample and two external validation samples, respectively. A point-based risk scoring system was built with good discrimination and reclassification ability.CONCLUSIONS:A prediction model using readily available clinical parameters was developed and externally validated to estimate risks of in-hospital MACE among patients with AMI, thereby better informing decision-making in improving clinical care.
BMJ open 2021
AIMS:The study sought to investigate the association between admission systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 1-year clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized for heart failure (HF) and in subgroups.METHODS:This study was based on the China Patient-centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, which prospectively enrolled patients hospitalized for HF in 52 hospitals from 20 provinces in China between August 2016 and May 2018. Patients were divided into four groups according to the quartiles of SBP at admission. The multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to examine the association between admission SBP and all-cause death and HF readmission within 1 year after the index hospitalization. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore the non-linear association between SBP and the clinical outcomes.RESULTS:Among 4896 patients, those with lower admission SBP were younger, more likely to be male, have left ventricular ejection fraction <40%, and receive β-blockers, aldosterone antagonists, and diuretics. After adjustment for potential confounders, lower admission SBP was significantly associated with higher all-cause death and there is no threshold, while we only observed such an association with HF readmission when admission SBP was lower than 120 mmHg. Compared with the 4th SBP quartile, patients in the 1st SBP quartile had higher risk of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.85; 95% confidence interval 1.48-2.33; P < 0.001) and HF readmission (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval 1.19-1.65, P < 0.001). These associations were consistent in most subgroups, such as age, sex, and left ventricular ejection fraction.CONCLUSIONS:In patients hospitalized for HF, lower admission SBP portends an increased risk of 1 year all-cause death and HF readmission, and these associations were consistent among subgroups.
ESC heart failure 2021
OBJECTIVE:Evidence of the effects of long-term fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure on hypertension and blood pressure is limited for populations exposed to high levels of PM2.5. We aim to assess associations of long-term exposure to PM2.5 with hypertension prevalence and blood pressure, and further explore the subpopulation differences and effect modification by participant characteristics in these associations in China.METHODS:We analysed cross-sectional data from 883 827 participants aged 35-75 years in the China Patient-Centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Million Persons Project. Data from the monitoring station were used to estimate the 1-year average concentration of PM2.5. The associations of PM2.5 exposure with hypertension prevalence and blood pressure were investigated by generalised linear models, with PM2.5 included as either linear or spline functions.RESULTS:The 1-year PM2.5 exposure of the study population ranged from 8.8 to 93.8 µg/m3 (mean 49.2 µg/m3). The adjusted OR of hypertension prevalence related to a 10 μg/m3 increase in 1-year PM2.5 exposure was 1.04 (95% CI, 1.02 to 1.05). Each 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 exposure was associated with increases of 0.19 mm Hg (95% CI, 0.10 to 0.28) and 0.13 mm Hg (95% CI, 0.08 to 0.18) in systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure, respectively. The concentration-response curves for hypertension prevalence and systolic blood pressure showed steeper slopes at higher PM2.5 levels; while the curve for diastolic blood pressure was U-shaped. The elderly, men, non-current smokers and obese participants were more susceptible to the exposure of PM2.5.CONCLUSIONS:Long-term exposure to PM2.5 is associated with higher blood pressure and increased risk of hypertension prevalence. The effects of PM2.5 on hypertension prevalence become more pronounced at higher PM2.5 levels. These findings emphasise the need to reduce air pollution, especially in areas with severe air pollution.
BMJ open 2021
AIMS:Current evidence about the effect of angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) on the outcome of heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction (HFmrEF) is lacking. We aim to assess the association between use of ARB and 1 year all-cause mortality after hospitalization for HFmrEF.METHODS AND RESULTS:We analysed the data of patients with ejection fraction of 40-49% in China Patient-centred Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study; 4907 patients hospitalized for heart failure from 52 Chinese hospitals were enrolled from August 2016 to May 2018. Use of ARB was determined by prescriptions at discharge. Patients who died during hospitalization or were using angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors at discharge were excluded. The association between the use of ARB and outcome was assessed using stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses. A total of 701 patients with HFmrEF were included for analysis. The mean age was 66.4 ± 12.8 years, and 267 (38.1%) were female. Of them, 244 were treated (34.8%) with ARB. During the 1 year follow-up period, patients treated with ARB had lower all-cause mortality compared with untreated patients (11.5% vs. 21.9%, P = 0.0005). Inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted Cox regression analysis showed that use of ARB was associated with significantly reduced all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.44, 95% confidence interval 0.28-0.69, P = 0.0004).CONCLUSIONS:Among patients hospitalized for HFmrEF, the use of ARB was associated with lower 1 year mortality after discharge.
ESC heart failure 2021
