侯剑峰
中国医学科学院阜外医院 普外科
BACKGROUND:To preferably evaluate and predict the risk for in-hospital mortality in elderly patients receiving cardiac valvular surgery, we developed a new prediction model using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-logistic regression and machine learning (ML) algorithms.METHODS:Clinical data including baseline characteristics and peri-operative data of 7163 elderly patients undergoing cardiac valvular surgery from January 2016 to December 2018 were collected at 87 hospitals in the Chinese Cardiac Surgery Registry (CCSR). Patients were divided into training (N = 5774 [80%]) and testing samples (N = 1389 [20%]) according to their date of operation. LASSO-logistic regression models and ML models were used to analyze risk factors and develop the prediction model. We compared the discrimination and calibration of each model and EuroSCORE II.RESULTS:A total of 7163 patients were included in this study, with a mean age of 69.8 (SD 4.5) years, and 45.0% were women. Overall, in-hospital mortality was 4.05%. The final model included seven risk factors: age, prior cardiac surgery, cardiopulmonary bypass duration time (CPB time), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), creatinine clearance rate (CCr), combined coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and New York Heart Association (NYHA) class. LASSO-logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis (LDA), support vector classification (SVC) and logistic regression (LR) models had the best discrimination and calibration in both training and testing cohorts, which were superior to the EuroSCORE II.CONCLUSIONS:The mortality rate for elderly patients undergoing cardiac valvular surgery was relatively high. LASSO-logistic regression, LDA, SVC and LR can predict the risk for in-hospital mortality in elderly patients receiving cardiac valvular surgery well.
Journal of cardiovascular development and disease 2023
Background:Calcified aortic valve disease (CAVD) is the most prevalent valvular disease that can be treated only through valve replacement. We aimed to explore potential biomarkers and the role of immune cell infiltration in CAVD progression through bioinformatics analysis.Methods:Differentially ex-pressed genes (DEGs) were screened out based on three microarray datasets: GSE12644, GSE51472 and GSE83453. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopaedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment analysis were performed to evaluate gene expression differences. Machine learning algorithms and DEGs were used to screen key gene. We used CIBERSORT to evaluate the immune cell infiltration of CAVD and evaluated the correlation between the biomarkers and infiltrating immune cells. We also compared bioinformatics analysis results with the valve interstitial cells (VICs) gene expression in single-cell RNA sequencing.Results:Collagen triple helix repeat containing 1 (CTHRC1) was identified as the key gene of CAVD. We identified a cell subtype valve interstitial cells-fibroblast, which was closely associated with fibro-calcific progress of aortic valve. CTHRC1 highly expressed in the VIC subpopulation. Immune infiltration analysis demonstrated that mast cells, B cells, dendritic cells and eosinophils were involved in pathogenesis of CAVD. Correlation analysis demonstrated that CTHRC1 was correlated with mast cells mostly.Conclusions:In summary, the study suggested that CTHRC1 was a key gene of CAVD and CTHRC1 might participate in the potential molecular pathways involved in the connection between infiltrating immune cells and myofibroblast phenotype VICs.
Journal of thoracic disease 2023
The goal of this study is to summarize valvular surgery data from the Chinese Cardiac Surgery Registry (CCSR) and compare it to the most recent data from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS). From 2016 to 2018, a total of 34,386 cases of the seven most common valvular surgical procedures was obtained from the CCSR. We calculated the proportions of different procedures in the CCSR cohort (n = 34,386) as well as the change in operation volume for each procedure. We also compiled rates of postoperative in-hospital mortality and five major complications across all procedures. All of the results were compared to the STS data. The CCSR and STS data showed divergent trends in valvular heart disease features and operation volume. Although the proportion of MV repair in the CCSR (13.7%) data was lower than in the STS data (23.2%), it demonstrated a substantial upward trend. In terms of operation volume, the CCSR data showed an upward trend, but the STS data showed a downward trend. CCSR procedures showed lower mortality (2% vs. 2.6%), reoperation (2.8% vs. 4.3%), and permanent stroke (0.5% vs. 1.6%) rates than STS procedures but higher rates of prolonged ventilation (22.4% vs. 10.4%) and renal failure (5.6% vs. 3.2%). Valvular surgery quality in China's leading cardiac hospitals is roughly comparable to that in the United States. China, on the other hand, has some shortcomings that need improvement.
Journal of cardiovascular development and disease 2022
AIMS:To characterize surgical valvular heart diseases (VHDs) in China and disclose regional variations in VHD surgeries by analyzing the data derived from the Chinese Cardiac Surgery Registry (CCSR).METHODS AND RESULTS:From January 2016 to December 2018, we consecutively collected the demographic information, clinical characteristics and outcomes of 38,131 adult patients undergoing valvular surgery in China. We sought to assess the quality of VHD surgery by examining in-hospital deaths of all patients from 7 geographic regions. Using a hierarchical generalized linear model, we calculated the risk-standardized mortality rate (RSMR) of each region. By comparing VHD characteristics and RSMRs, we pursued an investigation into regional variations. The mean age was 54.4 ± 12.4 years, and 47.2% of the patients were females. Among cases, the number of aortic valve surgeries was 9361 (24.5%), which was less than that of mitral valve surgeries (n = 14,506, 38.0%). The number of concurrent aortic and mitral valve surgeries was 6984 (18.3%). A total of 4529 surgical VHD patients (11.9%) also underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 2.17%. The lowest RSMR, 0.91%, was found in the southwest region, and the highest RSMR, 3.99%, was found in the northeast.CONCLUSION:Although the overall valvular surgical mortality rate in large Chinese cardiac centers was in line with high-income countries, there were marked regional variations in the characteristics and outcomes of surgical VHD patients across China.
BMC cardiovascular disorders 2022
Objective:To describe the natural history of the ascending aorta in elderly patients after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic valve stenosis and to clarify the risk factors associated with the progression of the ascending aorta.Methods:This retrospective review included a total of 87 elderly patients who had undergone aortic valve replacement for severe aortic valve stenosis in Fuwai Hospital. The patients were categorized into two groups based on the height-based aortic height index (AHI) before AVR, as determined by echocardiography and computed tomography: Group A (n = 28) was defined as an AHI > 2.44 cm/m, and Group B (n = 59) was defined as an AHI ≤ 2.44 cm/m. The perioperative and follow-up data were collected, and a linear mixed-effect model was used to analyze and compare the change rate of the ascending aorta after AVR.Results:The mean follow-up period was 4.0 ± 1.3 years. The diameter of ascending aorta in group A increased from 37.2 ± 5.0 mm at discharge to 40.7 ± 4.7 mm at the last follow-up (P=0.001), while that of group B increased only from 33.3 ± 4.4 mm to 33.7 ± 4.1 mm (P > 0.05).The ascending aorta diameter expansive rate was 0.81 mm/year in group A and 0.14 mm/year in group B. The expansive rate was significantly greater in patients with an AHI>2.44 cm/m than in those with anything else (P = 0.009). A univariable linear mixed model analysis revealed that the AHI>2.44 cm/m was the only significant risk factor for ascending aortic dilatation rate after AVR. There were 4 patients who died in hospital and 11 late follow-up deaths. Particularly, there was no aortic event that occurred during follow-up.Conclusion:For elderly patients with aortic stenosis, the possibility of progressive ascending aortic dilatation after AVR demands regular follow-up, and AHI may be an important risk factor for the change rate of the diameter of the ascending aorta.
Cardiology research and practice 2022
OBJECTIVE:In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, reduced preoperative ejection fraction (EF) and senior age are associated with a worse outcome. As most outcome data available for these patients are mainly from Western surgical populations involving specific surgery types, our aim is to evaluate the real-world characteristics and perioperative outcomes of surgery in senior-aged heart failure patients with reduced EF across a broad range cardiac surgeries.METHODS:Data were obtained from the China Heart Failure Surgery Registry (China-HFSR) database, a nationwide multicenter registry study in mainland China. Multiple variable regression analysis was performed in patients over 75 years old to identify risk factors associated with mortality.RESULTS:From 2012 to 2017, 578 senior-aged (> 75 years) patients were enrolled in China HFSR, 21.1% of whom were female. Isolated coronary bypass grafting (CABG) were performed in 71.6% of patients, 10.1% of patients underwent isolated valve surgery and 8.7% received CABG combined with valve surgery. In-hospital mortality was 10.6%, and the major complication rate was 17.3%. Multivariate analysis identified diabetes mellitus (odds ratio (OR) = 1.985), increased creatinine (OR = 1.007), New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class III (OR = 1.408), NYHA class IV (OR = 1.955), cardiogenic shock (OR, 6.271), and preoperative intra-aortic balloon pump insertion (OR = 3.426) as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.CONCLUSIONS:In senior-aged patients, preoperative evaluation should be carefully performed, and strict management of reversible factors needs more attention. Senior-aged patients commonly have a more severe disease status combined with more frequent comorbidities, which may lead to a high risk in mortality.
Journal of geriatric cardiology : JGC 2021
BACKGROUND:The use of preoperative beta-blockers has been accepted as a quality standard for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. However, conflicting results from recent studies have raised questions concerning the effectiveness of this quality metric. We sought to determine the influence of preoperative beta-blocker administration before CABG in patients with left ventricular dysfunction.METHODS:The authors analyzed all cases of isolated CABGs in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction less than 50%, performed between 2012 January and 2017 June, at 94 centres recorded in the China Heart Failure Surgery Registry database. In addition to the use of multivariate regression models, a 1-1 propensity scores matched analysis was performed.RESULTS:Of 6116 eligible patients, 61.7% received a preoperative beta-blocker. No difference in operative mortality was found between two cohorts (3.7% for the non-beta-blockers group vs. 3.0% for the beta-blocker group; adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.82 [95% CI 0.58-1.15]). Few differences in the incidence of other postoperative clinical end points were observed as a function of preoperative beta-blockers except in stroke (0.7% for the non-beta-blocker group vs. 0.3 for the beta-blocker group; adjusted OR 0.39 [95% CI 0.16-0.96]). Results of propensity-matched analyses were broadly consistent.CONCLUSIONS:In this study, the administration of beta-blockers before CABG was not associated with improved operative mortality and complications except the incidence of postoperative stroke in patients with left ventricular dysfunction. A more granular quality metric which would guide the use of beta-blockers should be developed.
BMC cardiovascular disorders 2021
BACKGROUND:Data on the effect of smoking on In-hospital outcome in patients with left ventricular dysfunction undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery are limited. We sought to determine the influence of smoking on CABG patients with left ventricular dysfunction.METHODS:A retrospective study was conducted using data from the China Heart Failure Surgery Registry database. Eligible patients with left ventricular ejection fraction less than 50% underwent isolated CABGS were included. In addition to the use of multivariate regression models, a 1-1 propensity scores matched analysis was performed. Our study (n = 6531) consisted of 3635 smokers and 2896 non-smokers. Smokers were further divided into ex-smokers (n = 2373) and current smokers (n = 1262).RESULTS:The overall in-hospital morality was 3.9%. Interestingly, current smokers have lower in-hospital mortality than non-smokers [2.3% vs 4.9%; adjusted odds ratio (OR) 0.612 (95% CI 0.395-0.947) ]. No difference was detected in mortality between ex-smokers and non-smokers [3.6% vs 4.9%; adjusted OR 0.974 (0.715-1.327)]. No significant differences in other clinical end points were observed. Results of propensity-matched analyses were broadly consistent.CONCLUSIONS:It is paradoxically that current smokers had lower in-hospital mortality than non-smokers. Future studies should be performed to further understand the biological mechanisms that may explain this 'smoker's paradox' phenomenon.
BMC cardiovascular disorders 2021
Intraventricular blood stasis is a design consideration for continuous flow blood pumps and might contribute to adverse events such as thrombosis and ventricular suction. However, the blood flow inside left ventricles (LVs) supported by blood pumps is still unclear. In vitro experiments were conducted to imitate how the hydraulic performance of an axial blood pump affects the intraventricular blood flow of a severe heart failure patient, such as velocity distribution, vorticity, and standard deviation of velocity. In this study, a silicone model of the LV was constructed from the computed tomography data of one patient with heart failure and was 3D printed. Then, intraventricular flow was visualized by particle image velocimetry equipment within a mock circulation loop. The results showed that the axial blood pump suctions most of the blood in a severely failing LV, there was an altered flow status within the LV, and blood stasis appeared in the central region of the LV. Some blood may be suctioned from the aortic valve to the blood pump because the patient's native heart was severely failing. Blood stasis at the LV center may cause thrombosis in the LV. The vortex flow near the inner wall of the LV can thoroughly wash the left ventricular cavity.
Artificial organs 2021
Device thrombosis inside ventricular assist devices remains a limitation to their long-term clinical use. Thrombosis potential exists in almost all ventricular assist devices because the device-induced high shear stress and vortices can activate platelets, which then aggregate and adhere to the surfaces inside the ventricular assist device. To decrease the device thrombosis potential of long-term use of ventricular assist devices, a methodology entitled platelet adhesion emulation for predicting the thrombosis potential and thrombosis position inside the ventricular assist devices is developed. The platelet adhesion emulation methodology combines numerical simulations with in vitro experiments by correlating the structure of the flow passage components within the ventricular assist device with the platelet adhesion to estimate the thrombosis potential and location, with the goal of developing ventricular assist devices with optimized antithrombotic performance. Platelet adhesion emulation is aimed at decreasing the device thrombus potential of ventricular assist devices. The platelet adhesion emulation effectiveness is validated by simulating and testing an axial left ventricular assist device. The blood velocity relative to the surfaces of the flow passage components is calculated to estimate the platelet adhesion potential, indicating the probability of thrombus formation on the surfaces. Platelet adhesion emulation experiments conducted in a mock circulation loop with pump prototypes show the distribution of platelet adhesion on the surfaces. This methodology of emulating the device thrombosis distribution indicates the potential for improving the component structure and reducing the device thrombosis of ventricular assist devices.
The International journal of artificial organs 2020
