胡泊
中国医学科学院阜外医院 医学统计部
Urbanization may influence physical activity (PA) levels, although little evidence is available for low- and middle- income countries where urbanization is occurring fastest. We evaluated associations between urbanization and total PA, as well as work-, leisure-, home-, and transport-specific PA, for 138,206 adults living in 698 communities across 22 countries within the Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study. The 1-week long-form International PA Questionnaire was administered at baseline (2003-2015). We used satellite-derived population density and impervious surface area estimates to quantify baseline urbanization levels for study communities, as well as change measures for 5- and 10-years prior to PA surveys. We used generalized linear mixed effects models to examine associations between urbanization measures and PA levels, controlling for individual, household and community factors. Higher community baseline levels of population density (- 12.4% per IQR, 95% CI - 16.0, - 8.7) and impervious surface area (- 29.2% per IQR, 95% CI - 37.5, - 19.7), as well as the rate of change in 5-year population density (- 17.2% per IQR, 95% CI - 25.7, - 7.7), were associated with lower total PA levels. Important differences in the associations between urbanization and PA were observed between PA domains, country-income levels, urban/rural status, and sex. These findings provide new information on the complex associations between urbanization and PA.
Scientific reports 2023
BACKGROUND:Previous in vitro and animal experiments have shown that copper plays an important role in cardiovascular health. Dietary copper is the main source of copper in the human body and the association between dietary copper and cardiovascular disease remains unclear. Our study aimed to investigate the associations of dietary copper intake with the risk of major cardiovascular disease incidence, cardiovascular disease mortality, and all-cause mortality in Chinese adults.METHODS:Our study is based on Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology China (PURE-China), a large prospective cohort study of 47 931 individuals aged 35-70 years from 12 provinces in China. Dietary intake was recorded using a validated semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire designed specifically for the Chinese population. The daily intake of copper was obtained by multiplying the daily food intake with the nutrient content provided in the Chinese Food Composition Table (2002). Cox frailty proportional hazards models were developed to evaluate the association between dietary copper intake with mortality, major cardiovascular disease events, and their composite.RESULTS:A total of 45 101 participants (mean age: 51.1 ± 9.7 years old) with complete information were included in the current study. The mean dietary copper intake was 2.6 ± 1.1 mg/d. During the 482 833 person-years of follow-up, 2 644(5.9%) participants died, 4 012(8.9%) developed new cardiovascular diseases, and 5 608(12.4%) participants experienced the composite endpoint. Compared with those in the first and second quartile of dietary copper intake, individuals in the third and fourth quantile had higher risk of composite outcomes, all-cause death, cardiovascular disease death, major cardiovascular disease and stroke occurrences. The associations remained similar in the subgroup and sensitivity analyses.CONCLUSIONS:Our findings demonstrated that excessive dietary copper intake was associated with higher risks of death and cardiovascular diseases in Chinese adults. Further studies in populations with different dietary characteristics are needed to obtain dose-response relationships and to refine global dietary recommendations.
BMC public health 2023
BACKGROUND:Although socioeconomic inequality in cardiovascular health has long been a public health focus, the differences in cardiovascular-disease burden and mortality between people with different socioeconomic statuses has yet to be adequately addressed. We aimed to assess the effects of socioeconomic status, measured via three socioeconomic-status indicators (ie, education, occupation, and household wealth and a composite socioeconomic-status disparity index, on mortality and cardiovascular-disease burden (ie, incidence, mortality, and admission to hospital) in China.METHODS:For this analysis, we used data from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE)-China cohort study, which enrolled adults aged 35-70 years from 115 urban and rural areas in 12 provinces in China between Jan 1, 2005, and Dec 31, 2009. Final follow-up was on Aug 30, 2021. Indicators of socioeconomic status were education, occupation, and household wealth; these individual indicators were also used to create an integrated socioeconomic-status index via latent class analysis. Standard questionnaires administered by trained researchers were used to obtain baseline data and were supplemeted by physical measurements. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular-disease mortality, non-cardiovascular-disease mortality, major cardiovascular disease, and cardiovascular-disease admission to hospital. Hazard ratios (HRs) and average marginal effects were used to assess the association between the primary outcomes and socioeconomic status.FINDINGS:Of 47 931 participants enrolled in the PURE-China study, 47 278 (98·6%) had complete information on sex and follow-up. After excluding 1189 (2·5%) participants with missing data on education, household wealth, and occupation at baseline, 46 089 participants were included in this analysis. Median follow-up was 11·9 years (IQR 9·5-12·6); 26 860 (58·3%) of 46 089 participants were female and 19 229 (41·7%) were male. Having no or primary education, unskilled occupation, or being in the lowest third of household wealth was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular-disease mortality, non-cardiovascular-disease mortality, major cardiovascular disease, and cardiovascular-disease admission to hospital compared with having higher education, a professional or managerial occupation, or more household wealth. After adjustment for confounders, people categorised as having low integrated socioeconomic status based on the index had a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1·65 [95% CI 1·42-1·92]), cardiovascular-disease mortality (2·19 [1·68-2·85]), non-cardiovascular disease mortality (1·43 [1·18-1·72]), major cardiovascular disease (1·43 [1·27-1·61]) and cardiovascular-disease admission to hospital (1·14 [1·01-1·28]) compared with people categorised as having high integrated socioeconomic status.INTERPRETATION:Socioeconomic-status inequalities in mortality and cardiovascular-disease outcomes exist in China. Targeted policies of equal health-care resource allocation should be promoted to equitably benefit people with fewer years of education and less household wealth.FUNDING:Funding sources are listed at the end of the Article.
The Lancet. Public health 2023
BACKGROUND:Evidence on whether an excess risk of incidence and mortality of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among people exposed to a high level of ambient PM2.5 in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is lacking. This study aimed to investigate the associations between long-term exposure to ambient fine particulate matter<2.5 µm (PM2.5) concentrations and the risk of incidence and mortality of CVD in a large cohort study from 115 communities.METHODS:In this cohort study, we followed 42 160 adults aged 35-75 years at baseline who enrolled in the Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiology Study conducted in China (PURE-China) between 2005 and 2009 with ambient PM2.5 estimates, and followed up until August 2021. Cox proportional hazards frailty models were used to estimate the associations between long-term mean outdoor PM2.5 concentrations and CVD events, CVD mortality, and all-cause mortality.FINDINGS:During a median follow-up period of 11.8 years, we documented 2 190 deaths, including 732 CVD deaths. There were 4 559 (10.8 %) of 42 160 participants who experienced incident total CVD, among them there were 861 myocardial infarctions (MI) and 2 338 S. The 3-year median concentration of ambient PM2.5 before the cohort commencement was 52.7 µg/m3 (interquartile range [IQR] 30.3-74.6). In full adjusted model, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.12 (95 % CI 1.11-1.14) for major CVD and 1.03 (95 % CI 1.01-1.05) for all-cause mortality. Besides, long-term PM2.5 concentrations had a significantly positive gradient association with total CVD and a similar pattern of associations with other CVD outcomes was observed.INTERPRETATION:This study demonstrated that long-term ambient PM2.5 concentrations is positively associated with increased risks of CVD in adults aged 35-70 years from China. This finding reinforces the need for policymakers to adopt more effective strategies to improve air quality.
Environment international 2023
Importance:High amounts of sitting time are associated with increased risks of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality in high-income countries, but it is unknown whether risks also increase in low- and middle-income countries.Objective:To investigate the association of sitting time with mortality and major CVD in countries at different economic levels using data from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology study.Design, Setting, and Participants:This population-based cohort study included participants aged 35 to 70 years recruited from January 1, 2003, and followed up until August 31, 2021, in 21 high-income, middle-income, and low-income countries with a median follow-up of 11.1 years.Exposures:Daily sitting time measured using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire.Main Outcomes and Measures:The composite of all-cause mortality and major CVD (defined as cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or heart failure).Results:Of 105 677 participants, 61 925 (58.6%) were women, and the mean (SD) age was 50.4 (9.6) years. During a median follow-up of 11.1 (IQR, 8.6-12.2) years, 6233 deaths and 5696 major cardiovascular events (2349 myocardial infarctions, 2966 strokes, 671 heart failure, and 1792 cardiovascular deaths) were documented. Compared with the reference group (<4 hours per day of sitting), higher sitting time (≥8 hours per day) was associated with an increased risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR], 1.19; 95% CI, 1.11-1.28; Pfor trend < .001), all-cause mortality (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.10-1.31; Pfor trend < .001), and major CVD (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10-1.34; Pfor trend < .001). When stratified by country income levels, the association of sitting time with the composite outcome was stronger in low-income and lower-middle-income countries (≥8 hours per day: HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.16-1.44) compared with high-income and upper-middle-income countries (HR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.98-1.19; P for interaction = .02). Compared with those who reported sitting time less than 4 hours per day and high physical activity level, participants who sat for 8 or more hours per day experienced a 17% to 50% higher associated risk of the composite outcome across physical activity levels; and the risk was attenuated along with increased physical activity levels.Conclusions and Relevance:High amounts of sitting time were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD in economically diverse settings, especially in low-income and lower-middle-income countries. Reducing sedentary time along with increasing physical activity might be an important strategy for easing the global burden of premature deaths and CVD.
JAMA cardiology 2022
Sleep medicine 2022
Objective: To investigate the associations between 24-hour urinary sodium excretion (24hUNaE) and all-cause mortality in adult Northern Chinese population. Methods: Data from this study were derived from the prospective urban and rural epidemiology (PURE) study in north China. Baseline information of all participants were obtained by face to face interview through trained research staffs based on questionnaires, and morning fasting urine samples of participants were collected to estimate 24hUNaE and 24-hour potassium excretion (24hUKE). Multivariable frailty Cox regression models were used to explore the association between 24hUNaE (<3.00, 3.00-3.99, 4.00-4.99, 5.00-5.99 and ≥6 g/d) and all-cause death. Results: A total of 27 310 participants were included in this study. The mean 24hUNaE was (5.84±1.73) g/d. After a median follow-up of 8.8 years, 1 024 participants died (3.7%), including 390 cardiovascular related deaths and 591 non-cardiovascular related deaths. The cause of death of the remaining patients could not be determined. Using 24hUNaE level of 4.00-4.99 g/d as the reference group, after fully adjustment, 24hUNaE ≥6.00 g/d was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death (HR=1.24, 95%CI: 1.02-1.49) and cardiovascular related death (HR=1.39, 95%CI: 1.02-1.88). 24hUNaE<3.00 g/d was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR=1.38, 95%CI: 0.96-1.99). There was no significant association between 24hUNaE and non-cardiovascular related death. Furthermore, using the combination of 24hUNaE 4.00-4.99 g/d and 24hUKE≥2.11 g/d as the reference group, the highest risk occurred in participants with the combination of low sodium (<3.00 g/d) and low potassium (<2.11 g/d). Conclusion: 24hUNaE equal or higher than 6 g/d or lower than 3 g/d is associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular related death in Northern Chinese population. Besides, moderate sodium intake in combination with increased potassium intake might reduce the risk of all-cause death.
Zhonghua xin xue guan bing za zhi 2022
This study aimed to identify the interaction of depression and diets on cardiovascular diseases (CVD) incident and death in China and key subpopulations. We included 40,925 participants from the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE)-China cohort which recruited participants aged 35-70 years from 45 urban and 70 rural communities. Depression was measured by the adapted Short-Form (CIDI-SF). The unhealthy diet was considered when the score of Alternative Healthy Eating Index was below the lowest tertile. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of incident CVD and all-cause mortality. Cox frailty models were used to examine the associations. During a median follow-up of 11.9 years (IQR: 9.6-12.6 years), depression significantly increased the risk of the composite outcome (HR = 2.00; 95% CI, 1.16-3.27), major CVD (HR = 1.82; 95% CI, 1.48-2.23), and all-cause mortality (HR = 2.21; 95% CI, 1.51-3.24) for the unhealthy diet group, but not for the healthy diet group. The interaction between depression and diet for the composite outcome was statistically significant (RERI = 1.19; 95% CI, 0.66-1.72; AP = 0.42, 95% CI, 0.27-0.61; SI = 3.30, 95% CI, 1.42-7.66; multiplicative-scale = 1.74 95% CI, 1.27-2.39), even in the subgroup and sensitivity analyses. In addition, the intake of vegetable and polyunsaturated fatty acids contributed most to the interaction of diets and depression. Depressive participants should focus on healthy diets, especially vegetables and polyunsaturated fatty acids, to avoid premature death and CVD.
Nutrients 2022
OBJECTIVE:To determine whether the amount of physical activity (PA) is a determinant of joint space narrowing (JSN) worsening over 48 months in participants with knee osteoarthritis.METHODS:Data were obtained from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. PA, measured using the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly (PASE), was defined as the mean value of the annual measurements conducted prior to development of worsening JSN. Worsening JSN was defined as at least a partial grade increase in the Osteoarthritis Research Society International JSN score over 48 months, in comparison with baseline. Restricted cubic spline function was used to group participants based on the linear association between PA and JSN worsening. A pooled logistic regression model was used to evaluate the association between PA and JSN worsening adjusted for confounders.RESULTS:A total of 2,167 participants were included. In total, 625 participants (28.8%) had JSN worsening over 48 months. Compared with a PASE score of 141-180, PASE scores of 101-140 and >220 were associated with an increased risk of JSN worsening in men, with odds ratios (ORs) of 1.73 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.07-2.81) and 1.83 (95% CI 1.14-2.93), respectively. Similarly, in participants with Kellgren/Lawrence (K/L) grade 2, compared with a PASE score of 141-180, PASE scores of ≤100 and >220 were associated with increased risks of JSN worsening, with an OR of 1.69 (95% CI 1.13-2.54) and 1.64 (95% CI 1.05-2.56), respectively.CONCLUSION:Compared to moderate PA, higher or lower amounts of PA are associated with an elevated risk for JSN worsening in men and in participants with K/L grade 2 knees.
Arthritis care & research 2022
BACKGROUND:Separate studies suggest that the risks from smoking might vary between high-income (HICs), middle-income (MICs), and low-income (LICs) countries, but this has not yet been systematically examined within a single study using standardised approaches. We examined the variations in risks from smoking across different country income groups and some of their potential reasons.METHODS:We analysed data from 134 909 participants from 21 countries followed up for a median of 11·3 years in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE) cohort study; 9711 participants with myocardial infarction and 11 362 controls from 52 countries in the INTERHEART case-control study; and 11 580 participants with stroke and 11 331 controls from 32 countries in the INTERSTROKE case-control study. In PURE, all-cause mortality, major cardiovascular disease, cancers, respiratory diseases, and their composite were the primary outcomes for this analysis. Biochemical verification of urinary total nicotine equivalent was done in a substudy of 1000 participants in PURE.FINDINGS:In PURE, the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for the composite outcome in current smokers (vs never smokers) was higher in HICs (HR 1·87, 95% CI 1·65-2·12) than in MICs (1·41, 1·34-1·49) and LICs (1·35, 1·25-1·46; interaction p<0·0001). Similar patterns were observed for each component of the composite outcome in PURE, myocardial infarction in INTERHEART, and stroke in INTERSTROKE. The median levels of tar, nicotine, and carbon monoxide displayed on the cigarette packs from PURE HICs were higher than those on the packs from MICs. In PURE, the proportion of never smokers reporting high second-hand smoke exposure (≥1 times/day) was 6·3% in HICs, 23·2% in MICs, and 14·0% in LICs. The adjusted geometric mean total nicotine equivalent was higher among current smokers in HICs (47·2 μM) than in MICs (31·1 μM) and LICs (25·2 μM; ANCOVA p<0·0001). By contrast, it was higher among never smokers in LICs (18·8 μM) and MICs (11·3 μM) than in HICs (5·0 μM; ANCOVA p=0·0001).INTERPRETATION:The variations in risks from smoking between country income groups are probably related to the higher exposure of tobacco-derived toxicants among smokers in HICs and higher rates of high second-hand smoke exposure among never smokers in MICs and LICs.FUNDING:Full funding sources are listed at the end of the paper (see Acknowledgments).
The Lancet. Global health 2022