高晓津
中国医学科学院阜外医院 心内科
At least 12 months of dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is 1 of the standards of care following percutaneous coronary intervention in patients with acute coronary syndrome. However, study on prolonged DAPT for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) without revascularization is limited. We studied 1,744 patients with AMI without revascularization from the China Acute Myocardial Infarction registry between January 2013 and September 2014. These patients were on DAPT and did not experience AMI, stroke, or bleeding events at the 12-month follow-up. We divided them into 2 groups: 12-month DAPT group (DAPT for at least 12 months but <18 months) and 18-month DAPT group (DAPT for at least 18 months). The primary outcome was 24-month all-cause death. Overall, 1,221 patients (70.0%) took DAPT for ≥12 months but <18 months, whereas 523 patients (30.0%) took DAPT for ≥18 months. The proportion of patients at high ischemic risk and the proportion of patients at high bleeding risk were similar in the 2 groups. At 24 months, the all-cause mortality rate of the 18-month DAPT group was significantly lower than that for the 12-month DAPT group (3.7% vs 5.9%, p = 0.0471). The adjusted hazard ratio for all-cause death also showed statistical significance (0.59, 95% confidence interval 0.35 to 0.99, p = 0.0444). In conclusion, DAPT for at least 18 months appears to be associated with lower 24-month mortality for non-revascularization AMI patients without events within 12 months after onset.
The American journal of cardiology 2024
OBJECTIVES:The risk of adverse events and prognostic factors are changing in different time phases after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). The incidence of adverse events is considerable in the early period after AMI hospitalisation. Therefore, dynamic risk prediction is needed to guide postdischarge management of AMI. This study aimed to develop a dynamic risk prediction instrument for patients following AMI.DESIGN:A retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort.SETTING:108 hospitals in China.PARTICIPANTS:A total of 23 887 patients after AMI in the China Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry were included in this analysis.PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES:All-cause mortality.RESULTS:In multivariable analyses, age, prior stroke, heart rate, Killip class, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), in-hospital percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), recurrent myocardial ischaemia, recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure (HF) during hospitalisation, antiplatelet therapy and statins at discharge were independently associated with 30-day mortality. Variables related to mortality between 30 days and 2 years included age, prior renal dysfunction, history of HF, AMI classification, heart rate, Killip class, haemoglobin, LVEF, in-hospital PCI, HF during hospitalisation, HF worsening within 30 days after discharge, antiplatelet therapy, β blocker and statin use within 30 days after discharge. The inclusion of adverse events and medications significantly improved the predictive performance of models without these indexes (likelihood ratio test p<0.0001). These two sets of predictors were used to establish dynamic prognostic nomograms for predicting mortality in patients with AMI. The C indexes of 30-day and 2-year prognostic nomograms were 0.85 (95% CI 0.83-0.88) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.81-0.84) in derivation cohort, and 0.79 (95% CI 0.71-0.86) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.79-0.84) in validation cohort, with satisfactory calibration.CONCLUSIONS:We established dynamic risk prediction models incorporating adverse event and medications. The nomograms may be useful instruments to help prospective risk assessment and management of AMI.TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER:NCT01874691.
BMJ open 2023
AIMS:Several observational studies indicated that atrial fibrillation might aggravate other cardiovascular diseases apart from ischaemic stroke. However, it remains to be determined whether these associations reveal independent causation. Using Mendelian randomization (MR), we systematically investigated how genetically predicted atrial fibrillation affected other cardiovascular diseases and cardiac death.METHODS AND RESULTS:Summary-level data for atrial fibrillation and other cardiovascular diseases were obtained from public genome-wide association study data. The random inverse-variance weighted method was treated as the primary analysis. Sensitivity analyses (including weighted median, MR-Egger, and multivariable MR methods) were also performed. Atrial fibrillation was significantly associated with higher risks of heart failure [odds ratio (OR): 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-1.28; P < 0.001], ischaemic stroke (OR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.17-1.25; P < 0.001), transient ischaemic attack (OR: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.05-1.15; P < 0.001), peripheral artery diseases (OR: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.03-1.15; P = 0.002), cardiac death (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.02-1.15; P = 0.008), and hypertension (OR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01-1.11; P = 0.010), without effects on coronary heart disease or pulmonary embolism. Associations for heart failure and ischaemic stroke remained robust to the sensitivity analyses. MR-Egger method (P > 0.05) and funnel plot yielded no indication of directional pleiotropy. The leave-one-out analysis suggested that the causal associations were not driven by individual single nucleotide polymorphism.CONCLUSIONS:This comprehensive MR analysis verified the causal associations between atrial fibrillation and high risks of heart failure, ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack, peripheral artery diseases, cardiac death, and hypertension. Interventions to reduce cardiovascular diseases beyond ischaemic stroke are warranted in patients with atrial fibrillation.
ESC heart failure 2023
Objective:To evaluate the long-term prognosis of patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with different reperfusion strategies in Chinese county-level hospitals.Methods:A total of 2,514 patients with STEMI from 32 hospitals participated in the China Acute Myocardial Infarction registry between January 2013 and September 2014. The success of fibrinolysis was assessed according to indirect measures of vascular recanalization. The primary outcome was 2-year mortality.Results:Reperfusion therapy was used in 1,080 patients (42.9%): fibrinolysis ( n= 664, 61.5%) and primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) ( n= 416, 38.5%). The most common reason for missing reperfusion therapy was a prehospital delay > 12 h (43%). Fibrinolysis [14.5%, hazard ratio ( HR): 0.59, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 0.44-0.80] and primary PCI (6.8%, HR= 0.32, 95% CI: 0.22-0.48) were associated with lower 2-year mortality than those with no reperfusion (28.5%). Among fibrinolysis-treated patients, 510 (76.8%) achieved successful clinical reperfusion; only 17.0% of those with failed fibrinolysis underwent rescue PCI. There was no difference in 2-year mortality between successful fibrinolysis and primary PCI (8.8% vs. 6.8%, HR = 1.53, 95% CI: 0.85-2.73). Failed fibrinolysis predicted a similar mortality (33.1%) to no reperfusion (33.1% vs. 28.5%, HR= 1.30, 95% CI: 0.93-1.81).Conclusion:In Chinese county-level hospitals, only approximately 2/5 of patients with STEMI underwent reperfusion therapy, largely due to prehospital delay. Approximately 30% of patients with failed fibrinolysis and no reperfusion therapy did not survive at 2 years. Quality improvement initiativesare warranted, especially in public health education and fast referral for mechanical revascularization in cases of failed fibrinolysis.
Biomedical and environmental sciences : BES 2023
BACKGROUND:Data on fibrinolytic therapy use for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) and long-term clinical outcomes in developing countries are limited. We aimed to investigate the management and 2-year mortality of fibrinolytic-treated patients in China.METHODS:A total of 19,112 patients with STEMI from 108 hospitals participated in the China Acute Myocardial Infarction registry between January 2013 and September 2014. We investigated the 2-year all-cause mortality among patients treated with fibrinolysis. Non-invasive clinical indexes were used to diagnose successful fibrinolysis or not.RESULTS:Only 1823 patients (9.5%) enrolled in the registry underwent fibrinolysis and 679 (37.2%) could be treated within 3 h after symptom onset. The overall use of rescue percutaneous coronary intervention was 8.9%. Successful fibrinolysis, which could be achieved in 1428 patients (78.3%), was related to types of fibrinolytic agents, symptom to needle time, infarction site, and Killip class. Follow-up data were available for 1745 patients (95.7%). After multivariate adjustment, successful fibrinolysis was strongly associated with a decreased risk of death compared with failed fibrinolysis at 2 years (8.5% vs. 29.0%, hazard ratio: 0.27, 95% confidence interval: 0.20-0.35).CONCLUSION:Within a minority of STEMI patients in the CAMI registry underwent fibrinolysis, most of them could achieve successful clinical reperfusion, presenting a much benign 2-year survival outcome than those with failed fibrinolysis. Quality improvement initiatives focusing on fibrinolysis are warranted to achieve its promise fully.TRIAL REGISTRATION:URL: https// www.CLINICALTRIALS:gov . Unique identifier: NCT01874691. Registered 11/06/2013.
BMC cardiovascular disorders 2023
Background To evaluate the role of ST-segment resolution (STR) alone and in combination with Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow in reperfusion evaluation after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction by investigating the long-term prognostic impact. Methods and Results From January 2013 through September 2014, we studied 5966 patients with ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction enrolled in the CAMI (China Acute Myocardial Infarction) registry with available data of STR evaluated at 120 minutes after PPCI. Successful STR included STR ≥50% and complete STR (ST-segment back to the equipotential line). After PPCI, the TIMI flow was assessed. The primary outcome was 2-year all-cause mortality. STR < 50%, STR ≥50%, and complete STR occurred in 20.6%, 64.3%, and 15.1% of patients, respectively. By multivariable analysis, STR ≥50% (5.6%; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.45 [95% CI, 0.36-0.56]) and complete STR (5.1%; adjusted HR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.34-0.67]) were significantly associated with lower 2-year mortality than STR <50% (11.7%). Successful STR was an independent predictor of 2-year mortality across the spectrum of clinical variables. After combining TIMI flow with STR, different 2-year mortality was observed in subgroups, with the lowest in successful STR and TIMI 3 flow, intermediate when either of these measures was reduced, and highest when both were abnormal. Conclusions Post-PPCI STR is a robust long-term prognosticator for ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction, whereas the integrated analysis of STR plus TIMI flow yields incremental prognostic information beyond either measure alone, supporting it as a convenient and reliable surrogate end point for defining successful PPCI. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01874691.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background:Prediction of bleeding is critical for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Machine learning methods can automatically select the combination of the important features and learn their underlying relationship with the outcome.Objectives:We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of machine learning methods to predict in-hospital bleeding for AMI patients.Design:We used data from the multicenter China Acute Myocardial Infarction (CAMI) registry. The cohort was randomly partitioned into derivation set (50%) and validation set (50%). We applied a state-of-art machine learning algorithm, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), to automatically select features from 98 candidate variables and developed a risk prediction model to predict in-hospital bleeding (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium [BARC] 3 or 5 definition).Results:A total of 16,736 AMI patients who underwent PCI were finally enrolled. 45 features were automatically selected and were used to construct the prediction model. The developed XGBoost model showed ideal prediction results. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) on the derivation data set was 0.941 (95% CI = 0.909-0.973, p < 0.001); the AUROC on the validation set was 0.837 (95% CI = 0.772-0.903, p < 0.001), which was better than the CRUSADE score (AUROC: 0.741; 95% CI = 0.654-0.828, p < 0.001) and ACUITY-HORIZONS score (AUROC: 0.731; 95% CI = 0.641-0.820, p < 0.001). We also developed an online calculator with 12 most important variables (http://101.89.95.81:8260/), and AUROC still reached 0.809 on the validation set.Conclusion:For the first time, we developed the CAMI bleeding model using machine learning methods for AMI patients after PCI.Trial registration:NCT01874691. Registered 11 Jun 2013.
Therapeutic advances in chronic disease 2023
To determine whether late percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of an infarct-related artery >12 h after ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction onset is beneficial, patients were included from the prospective, nationwide, multicenter China Acute Myocardial Infarction registry. The number of patients who underwent PCI or received drug therapy alone was 4791 and 1149, respectively. Hazard ratio (HR) and associated 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Compared with drug therapy, PCI was associated with lower incidences of 2-year major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; 6.43 vs 20.19%; HR, .27; 95% CI, .23-.32; P < .001), all-cause death (4.13 vs 15.74%; HR, .24; 95% CI, .20-.30; P < .001), myocardial infarction (1.73 vs 3.31%; HR, .49; 95% CI, .33-.72; P = .0003), stroke (1.02 vs 2.00%; HR, .47; 95% CI, .28-.77; P = .0026), and revascularization (10.96 vs 27.56%; HR, .32; 95% CI, .26-.39; P < .001). Subgroup analysis consistently indicated that PCI was superior to drug therapy. Moreover, the left ventricular ejection fraction in the PCI group was increased after 2-year follow-up, whereas there was no significant increase in the drug therapy group. In conclusion, late PCI is common in Chinese clinical practice, and it is associated with significant improvements in cardiac function and survival compared with drug therapy alone.
Angiology 2023
BACKGROUND:A growing number of cohort studies revealed an inverse association between cheese intake and cardiovascular diseases, yet the causal relationship is unclear.OBJECTIVE:To assess the causal relationship between cheese intake, and cardiovascular diseases and cardiovascular biomarkers.METHODS:A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis based on publicly available genome-wide association studies was employed to infer the causal relationship. The effect estimates were calculated using the random-effects inverse-variance-weighted method.RESULTS:Cheese intake per standard deviation increase causally reduced the risks of type 2 diabetes (odds ratio (OR) = 0.46; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34-0.63; p = 1.02 × 10-6), heart failure (OR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.79; p = 0.0001), coronary heart disease (OR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.53-0.79; p = 2.01 × 10-5), hypertension (OR = 0.67; 95% CI, 0.53-0.84; p = 0.001), and ischemic stroke (OR = 0.76; 95% CI, 0.63-0.91; p = 0.003). Suggestive evidence of an inverse association between cheese intake and peripheral artery disease was also observed. No associations were observed for atrial fibrillation, cardiac death, pulmonary embolism, or transient ischemic attack. The better prognosis associated with cheese intake may be explained by lower body mass index (BMI; effect estimate = -0.58; 95% CI, from -0.88 to -0.27; p = 0.0002), waist circumference (effect estimate = -0.49; 95% CI, from -0.76 to -0.23; p = 0.0003), triglycerides (effect estimate = -0.33; 95% CI, from -0.50 to -0.17; p = 4.91 × 10-5), and fasting glucose (effect estimate = -0.20; 95% CI, from -0.33 to -0.07; p = 0.0003). There was suggestive evidence of a positive association between cheese intake and high-density lipoprotein. No influences were observed for blood pressure or inflammation biomarkers.CONCLUSIONS:This two-sample MR analysis found causally inverse associations between cheese intake and type 2 diabetes, heart failure, coronary heart disease, hypertension, and ischemic stroke.
Nutrients 2022
OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the prognostic influence of the presence of right ventricular myocardial infarction (RVMI) on patients with inferior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) in the contemporary reperfusion era.METHODS:9308 patients with inferior STEMI were included from the prospective, nationwide, multicenter China Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry, including 1745 (18.75%) patients with RVMI and 7563 (81.25%) patients without RVMI. The primary outcome was two-year all-cause mortality. The secondary outcome was major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular event (MACCE) defined as a composite of all-cause mortality, recurrent MI, revascularization, stroke, and major bleeding.RESULTS:After two-year follow up, there were no significant differences between inferior STEMI patients with or without RVMI in all-cause mortality (12.0% vs 11.3%; adjusted HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.90 to 1.24; P = 0.5103). Inferior STEMI with RVMI was associated with higher risk of MACCE (25.6% vs 22.0%; adjusted HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.05 to 1.31; P = 0.0038), revascularization (10.3% vs 8.1%; adjusted HR: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.48; P = 0.0218), and major bleeding (4.6% vs 2.7%; adjusted HR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.18 to 2.07; P = 0.0019). Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and thrombolysis were independent predictors to decrease all-cause mortality. For patients who received timely reperfusion, RVMI involvement did not increase all-cause mortality, whereas for those who did not undergo reperfusion, RVMI increased all-cause mortality (20.3% vs 15.7%; HR: 1.34; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.63).CONCLUSION:RVMI did not increase all-cause mortality for inferior STEMI patients in contemporary reperfusion era, whereas the risk was increased for patients with no reperfusion treatment.
International journal of cardiology 2022
