安康

中国医学科学院阜外医院 心血管外科

An In-Hospital Mortality Risk Model for Elderly Patients Undergoing Cardiac Valvular Surgery Based on LASSO-Logistic Regression and Machine Learning.

BACKGROUND:To preferably evaluate and predict the risk for in-hospital mortality in elderly patients receiving cardiac valvular surgery, we developed a new prediction model using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-logistic regression and machine learning (ML) algorithms.METHODS:Clinical data including baseline characteristics and peri-operative data of 7163 elderly patients undergoing cardiac valvular surgery from January 2016 to December 2018 were collected at 87 hospitals in the Chinese Cardiac Surgery Registry (CCSR). Patients were divided into training (N = 5774 [80%]) and testing samples (N = 1389 [20%]) according to their date of operation. LASSO-logistic regression models and ML models were used to analyze risk factors and develop the prediction model. We compared the discrimination and calibration of each model and EuroSCORE II.RESULTS:A total of 7163 patients were included in this study, with a mean age of 69.8 (SD 4.5) years, and 45.0% were women. Overall, in-hospital mortality was 4.05%. The final model included seven risk factors: age, prior cardiac surgery, cardiopulmonary bypass duration time (CPB time), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), creatinine clearance rate (CCr), combined coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and New York Heart Association (NYHA) class. LASSO-logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis (LDA), support vector classification (SVC) and logistic regression (LR) models had the best discrimination and calibration in both training and testing cohorts, which were superior to the EuroSCORE II.CONCLUSIONS:The mortality rate for elderly patients undergoing cardiac valvular surgery was relatively high. LASSO-logistic regression, LDA, SVC and LR can predict the risk for in-hospital mortality in elderly patients receiving cardiac valvular surgery well.

2.4
4区

Journal of cardiovascular development and disease 2023

Comparison of self- and balloon-expandable valves in patients with dilatated ascending aorta undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement.

Background:Limited studies have focused on the performance of self-expandable valves (SEVs) and balloon-expandable valves (BEVs) in patients with dilatated ascending aorta (AA) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). The present study compared the performance of widely used Edwards BEVs and domestic SEVs in patients with dilatated AA among Chinese population.Methods:We identified and reviewed 207 patients who had baseline AA diameter ≥40 mm and underwent transfemoral TAVR. Patients were divided into two groups: SEV and BEV. The SEVs were locally manufactured valves that have received Chinese regulatory approval (Venus-A, Taurus One, and VitaFlow), while the BEVs were Edwards Sapien XT and Sapien3. Procedural device success and post-procedural changes of AA diameters were compared.Results:The sample size of SEV group was larger than that of BEV group because BEVs were not available in China in the early clinical practice. The overall device success was slightly lower in SEV group compared with BEV group (84.2% vs. 95.8%, P=0.213). However, in the univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, only bicuspid aortic valve (BAV) was found to be an independent risk factor for device failure (OR: 2.632, CI: 1.107-6.257, P=0.029). During the median follow-up of 21 months, no statistical difference was found between the two groups regarding the overall survival (83.1%±4.7% vs. 95.8%±4.1%, P=0.533), and no aortic dissection nor rupture was observed. In a subgroup of patients who had follow-up CTs ≥12-month intervals, the AA diameter appeared to remain stable in SEV group with an aortic expansion rate of 0 (-0.4 to 0.8) mm (P=0.102), while it slightly enlarged in BEV group with an aortic expansion rate of 0.4 (-0.4 to 0.6) mm/y (P=0.038). In addition, the AA diameter also slightly enlarged in patients with BAV [0.2 (0 to 1.0) mm/y, P=0.015], while it remained stable in patients with tricuspid aortic valve (TAV) [0 (-0.8 to 0.6) mm/y, P=0.640].Conclusions:In patients with dilatated AA who underwent TAVR, the type of THVs did not affect the procedural device success. BAV appeared to be a risk factor for both device failure and higher aortic expansion rate in these patients.

2.5
3区
第一作者

Journal of thoracic disease 2023

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement in patients with preoperative ascending aortic diameter ≥45 mm.

Background:Current indication for concomitant replacement of ascending aorta (AA) in patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement is that AA diameter exceeds 45 mm. However, the impact of AA dilation (≥45 mm) in patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) remains unclear.Methods:We retrospectively evaluated 467 consecutive patients who underwent transfemoral TAVR from January 2016 to April 2021. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to identify risk factors for all-cause mortality. The primary endpoint was the all-cause mortality, and the secondary endpoints were the occurrence of the aortic dissection and/or rupture.Results:One hundred patients (21.4%) presented preoperative AA ≥45 mm. The median age was 73 years for patients with AA ≥45 mm and 75 years for patients with AA <45 mm (P=0.021). The in-hospital mortality rate was 1.1%. There was no iatrogenic injury to the AA. Only one patient (0.2%) in AA <45 mm group experienced retrograde type B aortic dissection in the descending aorta. The median follow-up was 19 [16-34] months in patients with AA ≥45 mm and 27 [15-37] months in patients with AA <45 mm (P=0.152). No statistical difference was found between the two groups regarding the overall survival (92.5%±3.5% vs. 78.3%±6.8%, P=0.198). Only one patient in AA <45 mm group experienced type A aortic dissection 10 months after the procedure. In both univariable and multivariable analysis, AA ≥45 mm was not an independent predictor for all-cause mortality.Conclusions:Transfemoral TAVR can be performed safely in patients with preoperative AA ≥45 mm with a low intraprocedural risk. The mid-term survival appears not to be affected by the presence of AA ≥45 mm, and adverse aortic events are rare.

2.4
3区
第一作者

Cardiovascular diagnosis and therapy 2023

Minimal Right Vertical Infra-axillary Incision for Repair of Congenital Heart Defects.

BACKGROUND:This study evaluated the surgical results of a diverse array of congenital heart defects through minimal right vertical infra-axillary incision (RVIAI).METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of consecutive patients using minimal RVIAI for congenital heart defects between 2015 and 2019. The study included 1672 patients and minimal RVIAI was used for 13 primary procedures. The incision was 2.0 to 4.0 cm in all patients.RESULTS:Median age was 2.3 years (range, 0.2-6.0 years) and median weight was 12.5 kg (range, 5.0-34.0 kg). There were no in-hospital deaths or conversions to median sternotomy. Five patients underwent early reoperations (0.3%; 3 had postoperative bleeding, 1 had coarctation of ascending aorta owing to cannulation, and 1 had a major residual shunt). Other postoperative complications included a trivial residual shunt in 16 patients (1.0%), pleural effusion in 3 (0.2%), and wound infection in 4 (0.2%). Median follow-up was 3.2 years (range, 0.2-4.9 years). There were no late deaths or late reoperations. During follow-up, no surgery-related thoracic deformity or breast asymmetry was noted. One patient had mild scoliosis. We randomly chose 100 patients to complete a questionnaire regarding patient satisfaction with minimal RVIAI. Results showed that all patients and their parents were satisfied with the cosmetic results.CONCLUSIONS:Minimal RVIAI can be safely performed for a wide range of congenital heart defects with excellent cosmetic results. It may serve as a good alternative to median sternotomy, especially for young female patients.

4.6
2区
第一作者

The Annals of thoracic surgery 2022

Ascending Aorta Diameter Changes after Aortic Valve Replacement in Elderly Patients with Aortic Valve Stenosis.

Objective:To describe the natural history of the ascending aorta in elderly patients after aortic valve replacement (AVR) for aortic valve stenosis and to clarify the risk factors associated with the progression of the ascending aorta.Methods:This retrospective review included a total of 87 elderly patients who had undergone aortic valve replacement for severe aortic valve stenosis in Fuwai Hospital. The patients were categorized into two groups based on the height-based aortic height index (AHI) before AVR, as determined by echocardiography and computed tomography: Group A (n = 28) was defined as an AHI > 2.44 cm/m, and Group B (n = 59) was defined as an AHI ≤ 2.44 cm/m. The perioperative and follow-up data were collected, and a linear mixed-effect model was used to analyze and compare the change rate of the ascending aorta after AVR.Results:The mean follow-up period was 4.0 ± 1.3 years. The diameter of ascending aorta in group A increased from 37.2 ± 5.0 mm at discharge to 40.7 ± 4.7 mm at the last follow-up (P=0.001), while that of group B increased only from 33.3 ± 4.4 mm to 33.7 ± 4.1 mm (P > 0.05).The ascending aorta diameter expansive rate was 0.81 mm/year in group A and 0.14 mm/year in group B. The expansive rate was significantly greater in patients with an AHI>2.44 cm/m than in those with anything else (P = 0.009). A univariable linear mixed model analysis revealed that the AHI>2.44 cm/m was the only significant risk factor for ascending aortic dilatation rate after AVR. There were 4 patients who died in hospital and 11 late follow-up deaths. Particularly, there was no aortic event that occurred during follow-up.Conclusion:For elderly patients with aortic stenosis, the possibility of progressive ascending aortic dilatation after AVR demands regular follow-up, and AHI may be an important risk factor for the change rate of the diameter of the ascending aorta.

2.1
4区

Cardiology research and practice 2022

Translocation of aberrant left subclavian artery and resection of Kommerell diverticulum during the concomitant repair of intracardiac anomalies.

OBJECTIVES:To assess the safety and efficacy of the translocation of the aberrant left subclavian artery (LSCA) and resection of the Kommerell diverticulum during the concomitant repair of intracardiac anomalies for paediatric patients who had a right-sided aortic arch.METHODS:A retrospective review of paediatric patients who were diagnosed right-sided aortic arch, aberrant LSCA, Kommerell diverticulum and intracardiac anomalies between 2015 and 2019 was conducted. Patients who underwent translocation of the aberrant LSCA, diverticulum resection and concomitant intracardiac repair were included.RESULTS:Eight patients underwent translocation of aberrant LSCA, diverticulum resection, ligamentum division and concomitant repair of the associated intracardiac anomalies. All patients were male. The median age was 1.3 years (range 0.4-5.5 years) and the median weight was 10.0 kg (range 6.1-21.0 kg). The most commonly combined intracardiac anomaly was a ventricular septal defect. Seven patients (87.5%) had preoperative respiratory or gastrointestinal symptoms. There was no early mortality and no postoperative complications. During the median follow-up of 23 months (range 4-43 months), no patient had residual respiratory or gastrointestinal symptoms. A postoperative computed tomography scan was performed in 3 patients, all of which showed patent LSCA-left carotid artery anastomosis.CONCLUSIONS:Translocation of the aberrant LSCA and resection of the Kommerell diverticulum can be safely performed during the concomitant repair of intracardiac anomalies for paediatric patients. This approach could eliminate residual respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms, and prevent reintervention in the future.

4区
第一作者

Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery 2021

Transposition of the Great Arteries, Ventricular Septal Defect, and Pulmonary Stenosis: Modified REV versus Rastelli.

The objective of this study was to evaluate and compare the results of the modified réparation à l'ètage ventriculaire (REV) and the Rastelli operation for the treatment of transposition of the great arteries (TGA), ventricular septal defect (VSD), and pulmonary stenosis (PS). Records of 38 patients who underwent the modified REV (n = 16) or the Rastelli operation (n = 22) for the treatment of TGA, VSD, and PS between 2010 and 2019 were reviewed. The median age was 2.2 years (range 0.6-8.0 years) and the median weight was 11.3 kg (range 6.4-22.0 kg). No in-hospital death occurred and there were 4 early reoperations (two in each group). Overall survival at 10 years was 97.4% (100% in Modified REV group and 95.5% in Rastelli group, P = 0.39). Freedom from left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) reoperation was 100% in both groups. Freedom from right ventricular outflow tract (RVOT) reoperation was 100% in Modified REV group and 75.4% in Rastelli group (P = 0.073). Event-free survival was 100% in Modified REV group and 72.0% in Rastelli group (P = 0.048). The most recent echocardiography showed that LVOT peak gradient was less than 10 mmHg in all patients. In Modified REV group, 30.8% of patients (4/13) had either RVOT obstruction (RVOT peak gradient more than 40 mmHg) or moderate or severe pulmonary insufficiency, while conduit stenosis (peak gradient more than 40 mmHg) was found in 25.0% of patients (3/12) in Rastelli group. The modified REV and the Rastelli operation provide satisfactory early results, as well as long-term survival and LVOT performance. However, the modified REV has better RVOT performance.

1.6
4区
第一作者

Pediatric cardiology 2021

Repair of anomalous right upper pulmonary venous connection with extracardiac tunnel using pedicled autologous pericardium.

We introduce a new surgical technique where an extracardiac tunnel is created using pedicled autologous pericardium in an 8-month-old boy who was diagnosed with ventricular septal defect and anomalous connection of the right superior pulmonary vein to the superior vena cava.

1.0
4区
第一作者

Cardiology in the young 2020

Outcome of modified réparation à l'ètage ventriculaire (REV) based on anatomical characteristics for the anomalous ventriculoarterial connection with ventricular septal defect and left ventricular outflow tract obstruction.

OBJECTIVES:The present study evaluated the results of the modified réparation à l'étage ventriculaire (REV) based on the individual anatomical and pathological findings of the patients with an anomalous ventriculo-arterial connection with ventricular septal defect (VSD) and left ventricular outflow tract obstruction.METHODS:We reviewed a series of 24 patients who underwent modified REV between 2005 and 2019. Surgical indications included ventricles and atrioventricular valves suitable for biventricular repair, severe left ventricular outflow tract obstruction (peak gradient >30 mmHg), unrestrictive subaortic VSD and coronary arteries not suitable for reimplantation.RESULTS:The mean follow-up time was 7.0 ± 4.2 years (range 0.5-14.1 years). Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that overall survival was 100% and freedom from any reoperation was 93.3% ± 6.4%. Longitudinal analyses of the available postoperative echocardiographic data showed that the left ventricular outflow tract peak gradient was less than 10 mmHg in all patients (15/15) and the left ventricular ejection fraction was more than 50% in 93.3% of patients (14/15). The right ventricular outflow tract peak gradient was less than 40 mmHg in 73.3% of patients (11/15).CONCLUSIONS:The REV remains an option for selected patients despite the increasing use in recent years of the Nikaidoh procedure and its modifications. The surgical strategy needs to be determined by the specific anatomical and pathological findings of the patient. The modified REV had excellent long-term survival and freedom from reoperation for the treatment of anomalous ventriculo-arterial connection with VSD and left ventricular outflow tract obstruction. The long-term performance of the reconstructed left ventricular outflow tract and right ventricular outflow tract is satisfactory.

4区
第一作者

Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery 2020

Correlates of haemodynamic flow characteristics of sequential saphenous vein grafts in coronary artery bypass grafting.

OBJECTIVES:A sequential bypass technique has been widely used in the saphenous vein grafts (SVGs) during coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery. The aim of the present study was to investigate the correlates of haemodynamic flow characteristics of sequential SVGs using transit-time flow measurement.METHODS:From January 2013 to December 2016, 235 patients underwent isolated CABG using 1 aortosequential SVG to non-left anterior descending targets and the left internal mammary artery to the left anterior descending coronary artery. Among them, 212 patients have completed computed tomography angiography at 1-year follow-up and were included in the present study. The intraoperative flow rate and pulsatility index (PI) of sequential SVGs were assessed with transit-time flow measurement. The univariable and multivariable stepwise linear regression analyses of the possible correlating variables, including distal-end coronary artery (DECA) characteristics, were performed.RESULTS:For sequential SVGs, the mean proximal flow rate was 45.8 ± 19.2 ml/min, and the mean PI was 3.17 ± 1.00. We assessed the following correlates for proximal flow rate and PI: patient characteristics and DECA characteristics. Independent correlates of proximal flow rate were triple sequential SVG (by 21.0 ± 2.5 ml/min; P < 0.001), the DECA with more severe proximal stenosis (3.6 ± 1.3 ml/min per 10% increase; P = 0.007) and the DECA with larger diameter (≥1.5 mm) (by 4.8 ± 2.3 ml/min; P = 0.038). For PI, independent correlate was triple sequential SVG (by -0.55 ± 0.15; P < 0.001), and the DECA with larger diameter (≥1.5 mm) showed a strong trend (P = 0.069). The flow rate plotted against the logarithmic transformation of PI showed a significant inverse relationship in the linear regression analysis (P < 0.001). At 1-year follow-up, the patency of the proximal segment (between the aorta and the first side-to-side anastomosis) was 99.5% (211 of 212).CONCLUSIONS:Triple sequential SVG, the DECA with a larger diameter and more severe proximal stenosis were associated with higher proximal flow rate, whereas triple sequential SVG was associated with lower PI. These findings provide new data on flow characteristics and may guide subsequent studies towards improving sequential SVG patency.

4区
第一作者

Interactive cardiovascular and thoracic surgery 2019