季润青
中国医学科学院阜外医院 流行病与卫生统计学
BACKGROUND:To examine the associations between cumulative depressive symptoms and subsequent mortality among patients hospitalized for acute hear failure (AHF).METHODS:By using data from a prospective cohort study of patients with HF, depressive symptoms were measured by using Patient Health Questionnaire-2 (PHQ-2) at admission, 1-and 12-month after discharge. Cumulative depressive symptoms were interpreted by cumulative PHQ-2 score and cumulative times of depressive symptoms. Outcomes included subsequent 3-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.RESULTS:We included 2347 patients with the median follow-up of 4.4 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.0-5.0) years. Tertile 3 of cumulative PHQ-2 score had the highest risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.47, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-1.78) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.51, 95 % CI: 1.21-1.89) compared with Tertile 1; patients with≥2 times of depressive symptoms had the highest risk of all-cause (HR: 1.62, 95 % CI: 1.31-2.00) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.60, 95 % CI: 1.25-2.05) compared with patients without any depressive symptom. Cumulative PHQ-2 score provided the highest level of incremental prognostic ability in predicting the risk of all-cause (C-statistics: 0.64, 95 % CI: 0.62-0.66) and cardiovascular mortality (C-statistics: 0.65, 95 % CI: 0.62-0.67) on the basis of Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure score.CONCLUSION:Cumulative depressive symptoms were associated with the increased risk of subsequent mortality and provided incremental prognostic ability for the outcomes among patients with HF. Repeated depressive symptom measurements could be helpful to monitor long-term depressive symptoms, identify targeted patients and perform psychological interventions and social support to improve clinical outcomes among patients with AHF.
Journal of affective disorders 2024
AIMS:This study aimed to evaluate the cumulative high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTNT) from admission to 12 months after discharge and its association with mortality after 12 months among patients with acute heart failure (HF).METHODS:We used data from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study (China PEACE 5p-HF Study), which enrolled patients hospitalized primarily for HF from 52 hospitals between 2016 and 2018. We included patients who survived within 12 months and had hs-cTNT data at admission (within 48 h of admission) and 1 and 12 months after discharge. To evaluate the long-term cumulative hs-cTNT, we calculated cumulative hs-cTNT levels and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT level. Patients were divided into groups according to the quartiles of cumulative hs-cTNT levels (Quartiles 1-4) and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT levels (0-3 times). Multivariable Cox models were constructed to examine the association of cumulative hs-cTNT with mortality during the follow-up period.RESULTS:We included 1137 patients with a median age of 64 [interquartile range (IQR), 54-73] years; 406 (35.7%) were female. The median cumulative hs-cTNT level was 150 (IQR, 91-241) ng/L*month. Based on the cumulative times of high hs-cTNT levels, 404 (35.5%) patients were with zero time, 203 (17.9%) with one time, 174 (15.3%) with two times, and 356 (31.3%) with three times. During a median follow-up of 4.76 (IQR, 4.25-5.07) years, 303 (26.6%) all-cause deaths occurred. The increasing cumulative hs-cTNT level and cumulative times of high hs-cTNT level were independently associated with excess all-cause mortality. Compared with Quartile 1 group, Quartile 4 had the highest hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality [4.14; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.51-6.85], followed by Quartile 3 (HR: 3.35; 95% CI: 2.05-5.48) and Quartile 2 (HR: 2.47; 95% CI: 1.49-4.08) groups. Similarly, taking the patients with zero time of high hs-cTNT level as the reference, the HRs were 1.60 (95% CI: 1.05-2.45), 2.61 (95% CI: 1.76-3.87), and 2.86 (95% CI: 1.98-4.14) in patients who had one, two, and three times of high hs-cTNT level, respectively.CONCLUSIONS:Elevated cumulative hs-cTNT from admission to 12 months after discharge was independently associated with mortality after 12 months among patients with acute HF. Repeated measurements of hs-cTNT after discharge may help monitor the cardiac damage and identify patients with high risk of death.
ESC heart failure 2023
Background Elevated hsCRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) level is associated with worse prognosis among patients hospitalized for heart failure. However, the prognostic value of the long-term cumulative hsCRP remains unknown. Methods and Results We consecutively enrolled patients hospitalized for heart failure and collected their hsCRP data at admission and 1 and 12 months after discharge. Long-term cumulative hsCRP was evaluated using 2 approaches, cumulative hsCRP level quartiles and cumulative times of high hsCRP levels. Patients were classified into 4 groups by cumulative hsCRP level quartiles and cumulative times of high hsCRP levels (0- to 3-times: number of times that hsCRP levels were higher than cutoff values at admission or 1 or 12 months), respectively. Multivariable Cox models were used to assess the association of mortality with cumulative hsCRP. A total of 1281 patients were included; the median age was 64 (interquartile range, 54-73) years, and 35.4% were women. Over a 4.8-year (interquartile range, 4.2-5.1) follow-up, 374 (29.2%) patients died. Elevated long-term cumulative hsCRP level was related to higher mortality. Specifically, taking the quartile 1 as the reference, the hazard ratios (HRs) were 1.29 (95% CI, 0.92-1.81) for quartile 2, 1.62 (95% CI, 1.16-2.25) for quartile 3, and 2.38 (95% CI, 1.75-3.23) for quartile 4. Similarly, compared with the patients with 0-times (hsCRP level lower than the cutoff values in all 3 time points) of high hsCRP level, the HRs were 1.36 for 1-time (hsCRP level higher than the cutoff value in one of the 3 time points) (95% CI, 0.92-2.01), 1.95 for 2-times (hsCRP levels higher than the cutoff values in 2 of the 3 time points) (95% CI, 1.34-2.82), and 2.80 for 3-times (hsCRP levels higher than the cutoff values in the 3 time points) (95% CI, 1.97-4.00). Conclusions Increasing long-term cumulative hsCRP level was associated with worse outcomes in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure. Repeated hsCRP measurements could assist physicians in identifying patients with a high risk of death. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02878811.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background The age-related trends in the predictive ability of carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) for cardiovascular risk remain unclear. We aimed to identify the age-related trends in the predictive value of CIMT for cardiovascular death. Methods and Results In a prospective cohort of adults aged 35 to 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease who were enrolled between 2014 and 2020, we measured CIMT at baseline and collected the vital status and cause of death. We divided the study population into 4 age groups (35-44, 45-54, 55-64, and 65-75 years). Competing risk models were fitted to estimate the associations between CIMT and cardiovascular death. The added values of CIMT in prediction were assessed by the differences of the Harrell's concordance index and the net reclassification improvement index. We included 369 478 adults and followed them for a median of 4.7 years. A total of 4723 (1.28%) cardiovascular deaths occurred. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, the hazard ratios for CIMTmean per SD decreased with age, from 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17-1.37) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 1.14 (95% CI, 1.10-1.19) in the 65 to 75 years age group (P for interaction <0.01). Meanwhile, the net reclassification improvement indexes for CIMTmean were attenuated with age, from 22.60% (95% CI, 15.56%-29.64%) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 7.00% (95% CI, -6.82% to 20.83%) in the 65 to 75 years age group. Similar results were found for maximum CIMT in all age groups. Conclusions CIMT may improve cardiovascular risk prediction in the young and middle-aged populations, rather than those aged ≥55 years.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background:The chronic effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) at high concentrations remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the relationship of long-term PM2.5 exposure with all-cause and the top three causes of death (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and respiratory disease), and to analyze their concentration-response functions over a wide range of concentrations.Methods:We enrolled community residents aged 35-75 years from 2014 to 2017 from all 31 provinces of the Chinese Mainland, and followed them up until 2021. We used a long-term estimation dataset for both PM2.5 and O3 concentrations with a high spatiotemporal resolution to assess the individual exposure, and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations between PM2.5 and mortalities.Findings:We included 1,910,923 participants, whose mean age was 55.6 ± 9.8 years and 59.4% were female. A 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased risk for all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.02 [95% confidence interval 1.012-1.028]), CVD death (1.024 [1.011-1.037]), cancer death (1.037 [1.023-1.052]), and respiratory disease death (1.083 [1.049-1.117]), respectively. Long-term PM2.5 exposure nonlinearly related with all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortalities, while linearly related with respiratory disease mortality.Interpretation:The overall effects of long-term PM2.5 exposure on mortality in the high concentration settings are weaker than previous reports from settings of PM2.5 concentrations < 35 μg/m³. The distinct concentration-response relationships of CVD, cancer, and respiratory disease mortalities could facilitate targeted public health efforts to prevent death caused by air pollution.Funding:The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding, the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China, the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China.
The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific 2023
BACKGROUND:Clinical outcomes are poor if patients with acute heart failure (AHF) are discharged with residual congestion in the presence of renal dysfunction. However, there is no single indication to reflect the combined effects of the two related pathophysiological processes. We, therefore, proposed an indicator, congestion and renal index (CRI), and examined the associations between the CRI and one-year outcomes and the incremental prognostic value of CRI compared with the established scoring systems in a multicenter prospective cohort of AHF.METHODS:We enrolled AHF patients and calculated the ratio of thoracic fluid content index divided by estimated glomerular filtration rate before discharge, as CRI. Then we examined the associations between CRI and one-year outcomes.RESULTS:A total of 944 patients were included in the analysis (mean age 63.3 ± 13.8 years, 39.3% women). Compared with patients with CRI ≤ 0.59 mL/min per kΩ, those with CRI > 0.59 mL/min per kΩ had higher risks of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization (HR = 1.56 [1.13-2.15]) and all-cause death or all-cause hospitalization (HR = 1.33 [1.01-1.74]). CRI had an incremental prognostic value compared with the established scoring system.CONCLUSIONS:In patients with AHF, CRI is independently associated with the risk of death or hospitalization within one year, and improves the risk stratification of the established risk models.
Journal of geriatric cardiology : JGC 2023
Background Improving health status is one of the major goals in the management of heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the long-term individual trajectories of health status in patients with acute HF after discharge. Methods and Results We enrolled 2328 patients hospitalized for HF from 51 hospitals prospectively and measured their health status via the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 at admission and 1, 6, and 12 months after discharge, respectively. The median age of the patients included was 66 years, and 63.3% were men. Six patterns of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 trajectories were identified by a latent class trajectory model: persistently good (34.0%), rapidly improving (35.5%), slowly improving (10.4%), moderately regressing (7.4%), severely regressing (7.5%), and persistently poor (5.3%). Advanced age, decompensated chronic HF, HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction, HF with preserved ejection fraction, depression symptoms, cognitive impairment, and each additional HF rehospitalization within 1 year of discharge were associated with unfavorable health status (moderately regressing, severely regressing, and persistently poor) (P<0.05). Compared with the pattern of persistently good, slowly improving (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.06-2.12]), moderately regressing (HR, 1.92 [1.43-2.58]), severely regressing (HR, 2.26 [1.54-3.31]), and persistently poor (HR, 2.34 [1.55-3.53]) were associated with increased risks of all-cause death. Conclusions One-fifth of 1-year survivors after hospitalization for HF experienced unfavorable health status trajectories and had a substantially increased risk of death during the following years. Our findings help inform the understanding of disease progression from a patient perception perspective and its relationship with long-term survival. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT02878811.
Journal of the American Heart Association 2023
Background:Inflammation contributes to the progression of heart failure (HF). However, long-term inflammatory trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with acute HF remain unclear.Methods:Data was obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was used to reflect the inflammatory level. Only patients who survived over 12-month and had hsCRP data at admission, 1-, and 12-month after discharge were included. The latent class trajectory modeling was used to characterize hsCRP trajectories. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to explore the association between hsCRP trajectories and following mortality.Results:Totally, 1281 patients with a median 4.77 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.24-5.07) years follow-up were included. The median age was 64 years (IQR: 54-73 years); 453 (35.4%) were female. Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were characterized: persistently low (n = 419, 32.7%), very high-marked decrease (n = 99, 7.7%), persistently high (n = 649, 50.7%), and persistently very high (n = 114, 8.9%). Compared with the persistently low trajectory, the all-cause mortality was increased in a graded pattern in the persistently high (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-2.07) and persistently very high (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.83-3.70) trajectories; nevertheless, the mortality was not significantly increased in very high-marked decrease trajectory (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57-1.54).Conclusion:Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were identified among patients with acute HF who survived over 12-month. Patients with persistently high and very high trajectories had significantly higher mortality than those with the persistently low trajectory.
Journal of inflammation research 2023
BACKGROUND:Emergence delirium (ED) is a common phenomenon occurring in the recovery period. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence, risk factors, and consequences of ED in adults after elective brain tumor resection.METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the data of a prospective cohort performed in a tertiary university hospital. Adult patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) immediately after elective brain tumor resection were consecutively enrolled. Level of consciousness was assessed using the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale and ED was assessed using the Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU. Risk factors for ED were determined by multivariable logistic regression.RESULTS:A total of 659 patients met the inclusion criteria, of which 41 patients with coma were excluded. Among the remaining 618 patients, 131 (21.2%) developed ED. Independent risk factors for ED were: age, education level, use of anticholinergic and mannitol, Glasgow Coma Score and arterial partial pressure of oxygen postoperatively, postoperative pain, malignant tumor, and frontal approach craniotomy. ED was associated with increased postoperative delirium, longer length of hospital stay, and higher hospitalization costs. There was no significant difference in the neurological function deficits (modified Rankin Scale score) between ED and non-ED groups.CONCLUSIONS:ED has a high incidence and is associated with poor outcomes in adults after elective brain tumor resection. Early screening and prevention for ED should be established in perioperative management of this population.
The surgeon : journal of the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of Edinburgh and Ireland 2022
The surgeon : journal of the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of Edinburgh and Ireland 2022